Sunday, May 31, 2009

No Time

Marlins +124
Nats +129
Astros +128
Rockies -145
Indians +119
Os +115
White Sox +162

Saturday, May 30, 2009

Go Magic!

Indians +164
Royals -102
As +142
Ms -106

Friday, May 29, 2009

Maximum Piss & Vinegar

Os -112
Indians -119
As GM 2 +148
As GM1 -102
Rockies -118
Nats +158
Stros +131

Thursday, May 28, 2009

0-2 Coming Up

Rizo -117 1x
Os -129 1x

Wednesday, May 27, 2009

Tuesday, May 26, 2009

Arbitrary Cutoff Price For A Moneyline Play is -150

Fla/Phi U10 +101
Natinals +134
Rockies -144
Dbacks RL +137
Indians +118
Os +112
White Sox +176

Dillinger Four

This is unrelated to gambling but it's my blog (whateva, I do what I want). It has been nine years since the first and only time I witnessed D4 live in all my drunken delirium. This takes me back to a time when I wasn't a complete degenerate, but an akward-looking teen experiencing puberty. Anyway, today I found out they're playing a show in June at The Waiting Room which should be top notch. Onto the leans...

Fla/Phi Under - really, when Joe Blanton is involved this will almost always be a lean.
Nats - I have a question mark by the Nats because I am getting sick and fucking tired of backing them. They're quickly approaching DO NOT PLAY status.
Rockies - See yesterday's comments and add 20 cents after a 10-run defeat.
Dbacks - Baseball's hottest team is +150? That's screaming "value" brah.
Indians - Pavano is involved, although I'm sure glad I passed on this cluster. There is no justice in baseball.
Os - Standard play of your worst team (run differential) in the AL.
Bos/Min U - Let's try this again and this time don't fudge it up, Joe Mauer.
White Sox - Bartolo Colon vs Joe "I never regress to the mean" Saunders.

Monday, May 25, 2009

Memorial Day

Brewers -115
Rockies -132
Nats +154
Pirates +145
SD/Arz O9 +109
Os -103
Bos/Min U9 +107
White Sox +145

Prices will be filled in when they're matched

Flippin' PO-LEASE

On a positive note it was personally satisfying to see the Magic pull out game 3 after LeBron's shot in game 2 (I think the good folks at Benngian's can still here me cursing from Friday, luckily there were only seven people in the entire bar). This was partly because there were randoms that showed up at the bbq tonight that were rooting for the Cavs (direct quote, "Dude, Cavs are +1.5?!? They're way better than the Magic), while I sat mostly in silence resisting the urge to punch them in the face. Sorry, Jonny.

Rox and Nats are definites for me tomorrow. Of The Rose is -130 against the best team in the NL while the Nats are the mother flippin' Nats.

Rest of my leans are Brew Crew, Pirates, Os, SD/Arz O, Twins, TB/Cle U, Indians and White Sux.

Sunday, May 24, 2009

Putting My Faith In The Pirates

Not the best idea. Hope everyone has a splendid day.

Padres -102
Rockies +147
Mets +186
Pirates +189
Pit/CWS O9 +107

Saturday, May 23, 2009

Not Too Confident

1x plays
Nats +109
Rox +133
Twins -123
Marlins +126
Braves -141

Flippin' LeBron

Royals +149 1x

Friday, May 22, 2009

Too Much Chalk

Padres -139
Nats -101
Rockies +137
Marlins -110
TB/Fla U10 -115
Indians -106
Braves +150
Giants +132

I Have A Follower?

That's laughable. He is either fading me or loves losing money. Onto Friday's leans...

Padres - Zambrano is +140? EASY MONEY!!
Nats - Is fading the Orioles a possibility? I'm honestly not sure.
Rockies - The Rox are definitely undervalued and the early WL returns almost make this an automatic.
TB/Fla U10 - Taking an under with two guys sporting +7 ERAs? That sounds about right.
Braves - Who is much more likely to win, Doc Halladay or Kenshin Kawakami?
White Sox - Backing Gavin Floyd....
Giants - Randy Johnson is definitely worth backing

Thursday, May 21, 2009

Rashard MF'ing Lewis

Kudos to the Magic for pulling out game 1 in Cleveland

Indians +192
As +182
Mariners -111
Nats -114

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

I Should Have Stayed Napping

Nats -122
As+170

Mariners will be a play as well.

EDIT 6:43
Mariners +136

Man's Game, Bitch

3 games to 0. As long as "Showtime" and "Screamin' for Semen" want to pickup the bar tab, I'll play.

Wednesday night's drunken leans. Not too many options, much like at the bar.

Nats - that's more like it.
Reds - this seems too easy, not something I'm a fan of.
Col/Atl U - statgeeks darling Javier Vazquez duels against Of The Rose
SF/SD O - Maybe
Tex/Det U - Not a huge fan of this, but I'll see.
Os - Hughes is no prize
As - Kazmir, ain't what he used to be
White Sox - Backing Danks, seriously?
Ms - Jakubauskas is flippin' worthless

Tuesday, May 19, 2009

Huge Pickup Game Tonight

I rarely talk trash, but over the past couple months I have ratcheted it up to unparalleled levels. After many delays and scheduling conflicts with a couple of co-workers, the basketball game will finally be played tonight. As long as I win this game, I'll take anything the baseball gods serve up tonight.

Rockies +198
Astros +120
Tex/Det U11 +107
Os +270
As +181
Indians -123
Cle/KC O8.5 EV
Twins +114

Discarded the Nats, Dbags, Padres and Mariners (those would be the plays).

Good luck

Counteract All The Put Me To Sleepers

Leans for Tuesday night

Nats - The thought of laying -140 on Shairon Martis is frightening.
Phi/Cin U - On the "square" side, it would seem. An under involving Cole Hamels & Mr. 1.93 ERA? Hamels' inflated ERA is the only positive, but he WAS the World Series MVP last year. We can't ever forget that.
Rockies - I've got a raging hard-on for going against Jrrj Jjrrjrjs
Astros - Brew Crew are on a role and they're only -110 against the mighty Astros?
SF/SD U - 7.5 for Zito and Chris Young? Almost as funny as Tobias Funke. Early WL returns do not approve, seriously people? I can't blame them though. Wait until this game goes 16 innings and the Padres put up a whopping 6 runs.
Tex/Det U - A quick stop at Covers validates this lean.
Os - Price is fucking high, I like the under a bit more though.
As - I'm growing sick of these fuckers
Indians - I'll let VW take this one. Over will get a look as well.
Twins - Buerhle and his 3 ERA can suck it. Baker and his near 7 ERA is attractive though. Only -122 for the White Sox ace?
Mariners - Might be time to fade Dennis Quaid, but with Felix? This one will depend on the consensus.

Monday, May 18, 2009

Let's Go Positive Variance!

Nats -113
Rockies +176
As +129
Twins +161
Mariners +110

Generic Comment About Sucking

White Sox +151 1x

Sunday, May 17, 2009

Hand of Nats giving life to Rockies bullpen

The Rockies bullpen has been inspired.

Not The Most Well-Thought Out Picks

Nats -103
Rockies -106
Padres -1.5 +145
Mariners +131

Saturday, May 16, 2009

More Losers

SF +160
SD +120
Indians +157
Nats(GM1) +117

Friday, May 15, 2009

0-10?

Nats -101
Phi/Was U9.5 +116
Marlins -133
Padres +112
Min/NYY U10.5 +110
White Sox +116
As +142
Cle/TB U9.5 +126
Bos/Sea U9 +101
Os +202

Passing Texas, Arizona, LAD/Fla O, Cleveland and Seattle

I already feel that I've gone 0-4 on these totals. This is how tonight will unfold; I'll get home, check the scores after work (worthless, broken phone which may or may not be the result of throwing it around during March Madness), see that I've gone 0-8 with two more losses coming in the late games. From there I will watch Arrested Development in a stupor, trying to cheer myself up before I go into work in the morning.

Good luck tonight!

Thursday, May 14, 2009

Noise

Brewers -102
Padres +151
Twins -106
Hou/Col U10 +105

Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Ugh. I Hate This Card.

All for 1x
Pirates +105
Padres +149
SD/CHC O11.5 +109
Os +106
As -109
Cin/Arz O9 -117

Flippin' Nats

Indians -144
Braves +125
Nats +126

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Lazy Tuesday

Nats +133
Mariners +143
Atl/NYM O8.5 -109
Padres +130
Indians -144

Maybe the As later.
As -118

Monday, May 11, 2009

5-11

Braves +185 1x

Sunday, May 10, 2009

Mother's Day Plays

Atl/Phi U10 +107 1x
Padres +146 1x
Nats +163 1x
Rockies -120 1x
NYY/Bal U9.5 -108 1x
Os +137 1x

Saturday, May 9, 2009

0-5

Reds +101
Nats +115
Os +143
Det/KC O9.5 +101
KC/LAA O8 +118

May 9th NBA Playoff Fade

Mavs -3.5 -110 3x

I Shouldn't Pass My Limit

Pit/NYM O9 +127 1x
As -103 1x

Posted these plays earlier and in my hungover stupor forgot to post them on the blog.

Friday, May 8, 2009

Crooked Wheels Keep Turning

All for 1x
Sea/Min U9 +109
Tex/CWS U11 EV
Oakland +107
Reds -111
Braves +163

3x
Magic -5 -103
Rockets +1.5 +103

Thursday, May 7, 2009

Hyped Up On Coffee

Sea/KC O9 +106
As -108
Tribe +143
Det/CWS O9 +112
Nats +143
Mets -126
Os -101
Astros +135

Passing SF/Col Over and Cincy

Note, these plays are bound to end badly.

Wednesday, May 6, 2009

Hell Week Only Has One More Day

Indians +159
Det/CWS O9 +109
Sea/KC U10 +115
Oakland -109
Rockies -146
Natinals +188

I went back and forth on whether or not I should be on the Cle/Bos Under instead of the Indians, but I went ahead with the Indians because of Pavano's sparkling 7.46 ERA and the Indians bullpen.

The other two totals aren't getting hammered on WL, but other consensus sites agreed with me and when I saw the pitching matchups last night both of those totals stood out, for some reason.

Tuesday, May 5, 2009

Players Championship

Martin Kaymer +10000 (.125)

Pure follow

This Struck Me As Amusing

Cinco de Moustache

All for 1x

Atlanta -117
Philadelphia +120
Arizona +114
Tigers -102

Live Betting On The Nats

Nats -106 1x

I had no time to look at anything gambling related this morning, so this is my meager attempt to lose money on my least favorite team. Plus, at the time my bet got picked up Fangraphs had the Nats at 64% to win the game.

Monday, May 4, 2009

May 5th NBA Fade Material

Rockets +8.5 EV (.75)

"Joe Saunders has struggled....this meek Oakland O Is The Elixir He Has Been Looking For"

While that is possible because Saunders is battling a team who is hitting under .240 on the year (I certainly hope not), over time the identical K/BB ratio, low BABIP and over-performing his FIP will catch up to him.

Zonk must not be a Nats backer.

Quite The Card

All for 1x

Natinals -141
Brewers -126
Braves -111
Phillies +125
Twins +125
Indians +125
Os +210
As +108
Rockies -111

Sunday, May 3, 2009

Sunday Baseball

NYM/Phi U10.5 EV
Washington +117
San Diego +214
Tampa -148
KC/Min U8.5 +108

Saturday, May 2, 2009

Saturday Night?

Cincinnati -107 1x

I'm pretty sure the above bet was filled, but I have no idea what else got picked up at the moment because MB is down.

Cin/Pit O9 +123 1x
As +128 1x
SD/LAD U8.5 +103 1x

Boston Celtics -5.5 -103 3x

Also another worthless future bet I have is Detroit +275 to Win AL Central 2x

Saturday Afternoon

Nats +126 (.25)
Hou/Atl O8 +116 (.25)

Friday, May 1, 2009

Natinals Will Find Another Way To Blow A Late Lead

All for 1x

Nats -113
SD/LAD U8 +106
Indians +158
Rangers +107

Passing Astros, Orioles, Royals and As. I'm not sure how I even have four plays for such a mediocre card.

So this means that plays will go 0-4, passes 3-1

Updated AL West Futures

I added onto my previous Seattle and Oakland division bets, this is where those bets currently stand.

Seattle +623 to win AL West (.75)
Oakland +396 to win AL West (1.25)