CFB Leans Week 15

Ball St -15.5 Buffalo
I'm 100% assured I'll be rooting for Turner Gill and the boys.

Uconn -2.5 Pitt
Uconn lost their last game which was nationally televised game while Pitt beat WV in their last game which was nationally televised. Plus, Pitt is a public dog.

Navy -11 Army
Doesn't Navy smoke Army every year?

Troy -11 Arkansas St
If Arkansas St can only survive North Texas by 5 points, what will Troy do to them? Remember, Troy almost beat LSU and we all know how good LSU is.

FIU -7.5 WKU
Merely entertaining the thought. If the line would have stayed at 7 or dropped to 6.5 then there might have been a play.

Oklahoma -17 Missouri
Gross. Sooners will be up 21-0 after the first and cruise from there.

Hawaii +7.5 Cincinnati
There should not be any explanation needed.

CFB Leans Week 13

Not feeling like much of an intro. Home team is listed first and leans are in bold.

Rutgers -19 Army
Not sure if Army will make the cut.

Louisville +7 West Virginia
This is another one of my weaker leans as it stands now.

Vandy -3 Tennessee
Tennessee really shouldn't show up for their game on Saturday. If you can't beat Wyoming you don't walk into Vanderbilt Stadium and lose by less than a FG. If you don't believe here are a few articulate views.

Wyoming +2 Colorado St
Line dropped while most of the consensus sites have Colorado St getting hammered.

Arkansas St -4 Florida Atlantic
How can the mighty FAU Owls be giving points?

Northwestern +3 Illinois
Here's to Illinois not shooting themselves in the fight multiple times.

Wake -2 BC
I love the ACC as a conference, hopefully it continues this weekend.

Rice -9.5 Marshall
Trying to fade Rice each week hasn't worked out so well this year.

Penn St -15.5 Michigan St
Formula to winning against Penn St is a power running game, Michigan St has this so it should be a close game.

Nevada +7 Boise St
One of my favorite games of the week.

Arizona -2.5 Oregon St
Oregon St is going to the Rose Bowl

Troy -10 UL-Lafayette
If Troy led LSU 31-3, how won't they easily dispatch of the Rajun' Cajuns?

Maryland +1 FSU
See Wake-BC

Oklahoma -7 Texas Tech
How the #2 team in the country is a TD dog is beyond me

CFB Leans Week 12

I'm a little wary heading into college foots this week. I've been doing too good* lately, the other shoe has to drop. Home team is listed first and my lean is in bold. Onto my attempts to justify plays.

Iowa -17.5 Purdue
Not sure if I'll play this, as the line has shifted a full three points in favor of the Hawkeyes and I might have missed my chance. I find it interesting how Vegas didn't set a line to attract Iowa action coming off their biggest win in years, but instead wants you to take the Boilermakers and their All-American kicker. Even after setting that line it moves another three points, which will only attract more Purdue action.**

Clemson -10.5 Duke
Here's to someone knowing why Clemson is a double-digit fav.

Illinois +9.5 Ohio St
Ohio St is coming off a waxing of NW*** while Illinois lost to Western Michigan. Sometimes the play is just that sickening.

Kansas +13.5 Texas
I find it comforting that as hard as Texas is getting pounded the line has only gone up .5 point and hasn't yet reached 14.

Auburn +10 Georgia
Auburn has 2 FBS wins in the past 2 months. Those came over Mississippi St 3-2 and Tennessee 14-12. Add in a 1-8 ATS for Auburn who only covered in the first week of the season and it's rather gross. How doesn't Georgia's high-powered offense cover this. Auburn has only averaged 10 ppg in conference. That means all Georgia has to do is get to 21, right?

LT -14 Utah St
It's amazing how bettors won't touch a team one week (see SJSU -8 against LT) and are all over them the next week.

Kant St +6 Nebraska
Trying to avoid this game as much as possible. Will Grimace be smart enough to attack Nebraska's thin linebacking corps? Maybe, but even when Nebraska sucked last year they beat K-St by 42. Surely an improved Nebraska team can win by 7. As a student and a fan, I'm a little worried about this game.

Florida -22.5 South Carolina
This line might be jacked up a little, it doesn't feel right to back a team that people are calling the best in the country. I'm sure South Carolina and their "#3 ranked defense" (thank you ESPN for bringing this to everyone's attention) should be able to slow down Florida a little. But Florida actually has the better defense and who is the best team South Carolina played on the road this year(Mississippi? Kentucky?). Not exactly hostile environments.

Baylor -8 Texas A&M
When was the last time Baylor was more than a TD fav? The betting public seems to be as perplexed as I am about this.

Oregon -6 Arizona
Line was steamed 2.5 points in favor of the Ducks. Someone must like one of these overrated teams better than the other.

Syracuse +10 Uconn
Not much here just a pub fade play

Colorado +18 Oklahoma St
I'm sick at the thought of playing this game. Maybe Colorado won't play like complete garbage for once.

UTEP -13 SMU
After a few mid-season covers Meth was becoming a little too popular for my tastes. After a couple of sterling performances where they let bettors down they're due for another shot. There is nothing better than a horrible team covering for a couple weeks, drawing in your average bettor only to disappoint. Which in turn brings them back down for a play. UTEP is also in the same boat as LT stated above.

Washington +7 UCLA
I loathe Washington more than any other college team

Also considering UAB, SDSU, BC and any others I feel like.

*In college football, certainly not anything else
** I might have just convinced myself to back Iowa
*** We know the books don't hold the Wildcats in high regard

CFB Leans Week 11

INDIANA +9.5 wisconsin
Battle of the Big 11 titans, line drop is a good sign in this one.

NW +11 tosu
This has Ohio St blow out written all over it.

purdue +9.5 SPARTY
Vegas must think Sparty is trash.

UNC -4 gt
Tar Heels are borderline, I have doubts they'll be playable.

KENTUCKY +12 uga
Georgia has too much pride to beat Kentucky by anything less than two TDs.

utah st +35 BOISE
I really do hate Boise St.

NEB -1.5 kansas
Hopefully Nebraska doesn't fall down 35-0 after the first this week.

IOWA +7.5 penn st
I have no choice.

LSU +3 alabama
I am looking for any reason not to play this.

wku +16.5 TROY
Western Kentucky gave North Texas their first win of the year, that's all anyone needs to know about the Hilltoppers.

fired grimace +27.5 MIZZOU
63-24 Missouri seems about right.

WASHINGTON +14.5 arizona st
Gross

cincy +6.5 WV
Maybe Cincinnati can hand West Virginia the game like Uconn did last week.

ok st +3.5 TT
I'm looking for a letdown coming off last week's GOY

lt +7 SJSU
This should be a thrilling game

CFB Leans Week 10

The list is quite extensive and it's not something that I'm completely thrilled about. There's a lot of fat on this card that needs to be trimmed.
Caps indicates home team

UCONN +4 wva
In case you didn't know, West Virginia is back after beating Auburn.

NW +7 Minny
I really liked this one early in the week, but now I'm cooling off on the thought of backing NW.

Wisky +5.5 MSU
Really? The oddsmakers haven't been respecting Sparty.

BAYLOR +21 Mizzou
I hope this isn't the same old Baylor team that everyone else thinks it is.

Colorado +3.5 A&M
Nice spot to back the Buffs coming off their 58-0 drubbing at the hands of Mizzou. Meanwhile A&M has developed quite a following lately, hopefully that ends here.

Pitt +5 ND
Unsure about the Pitt QB situation heading into the game. Either way right now a definite lean to the 'Stache. I mean if you can't stop Mike Teel, who can you stop?

LT +4 Fresno
Fresno has really looked solid in their last three games. Do they continue to slide? I'm leaning that way.

Arkansas St +23.5 BAMA
Excuse me while I vomit.

Iowa St +31 BOONE PICKENS
Iowa St really does blow something fierce.

CAL -3 Oregon
Uh-oh, second lean that is going against the Wheel of Genius.

Temple +7 NAVY
I'm told this is a complete mismatch.

North Texas +17 WKU
17-point dog against a team in its first full year of FBS. In case you didn't know it's quite a program they have down there in Denton.

Fla Intl +7 UL-LAF
I, like Vegas, was unaware how special UL-Lafayette was.

CSU +14.5 byu
I really wouldn't mind seeing BYU come up with the cover. I have other rooting interests.

Tennessee +6 OLD BALL COACH
Tennessee has almost become a weekly auto-play

NMSU +21.5 Boise St
The Aggies are coming off an inspired effort last week in Moscow. This line is disgustingly low.

UL-MON +10 Troy
I think Monroe is worse than people realize, but that wouldn't stop me from taking them against an overhyped Troy squad. Well, as hyped as a Sunbelt team can get.

Tulane +26.5 LSU
Is LSU going to be pissed or demoralized?

UNLV +14 Tcu
It's not like Vegas has to go out of their way to attract action on TCU, but they did anyway.

UTEP +3 Rice
Not my most confident of leans, that's probably a good thing.

NM +7.5 Utah
Another MWC Special!

Arizona St +15.5 BEAVERS
Nice game last week Sun Devils.

UCF +3.5 Ecu
Didn't the oddsmakers watch the game last Sunday night?

Tulsa/Arkansas Over and Washington/USC Under are looking like plays right now.

Your CFB Leans For WK9

SJSU +7
The oddsmakers know this is Boise St, right? They've already got a spot locked up in the BCS.

Indiana +8
I'm disgusted with this play, yet I like it. Quite a bit in fact.

Eastern Michigan +25
The fading of Ball St combines to meet the backing of EMU. The line has already moved 1.5 points to Ball St and I'll be surprised if it doesn't creep up a little more.

Toledo +4
Central Michigan has quite the following, no?

Kansas -1.5
I'm a moron who already has Kansas locked in at -2.5

Florida -25.5
This doesn't even remotely feel right.

Kansas St +18.5
How many yards will OU rack up this game, 600...700? I wouldn't be surprised in the least.

Baylor +12.5

Duke +10.5
This line seems a little high to me, that's probably because I still view Vandy as garbage.

Rutgers +9.5
meh

Tennessee +6.5
Auto-play

Cal -17
Look everyone it's the Pac-10 public dog of the week....this week the role is being played by UCLA.

LSU -1.5
I hate both of these teams.

Michigan +3.5
I'm sure this will be enjoyable to watch. Remember everyone, Michigan St is going to bounce back.

Iowa St -3
Battle of the heavyweights in the Big 12.

SDSU +9
People are lining up to fade the Aztecs after last week.

Arizona St +3
The consensus numbers are there, but I'm not sold on this play.

Looking at NM/AF under and West Virginia for tonight, not sure if either will be a play though.

CFB Leans Week 8

Florida St -11
Home Dogs on ESPN are money!!

TCU -1.5
Top 10 team as a dog against an unranked conference foe. Line switching 4 points away from BYU when they are getting hammered. Already put 1.5x on this play, I might tack on an additional .5x for a 2x play (8% of bankroll).

Haw/Boise U52
These teams don't play defense, not a lick

Rutgers +1
What am I thinking going against TheRealUnger? I obviously do not like money.

Maryland +2
This line is just a little low. I'm guessing the bummy Maryland shows up.

Clemson +2.5
Head coach gets fired, so the team will lose. It's a law of nature.

Duke +3
Line has dropped 2.5 points, not sure why. It's not like Duke can beat Miami, right?

Iowa -3.5
Public thinks Wisky is gonna bounce back just fine.

KU/OU U60.5
This bet will be over at 13:39 in the 3rd

Iowa St +8

Tennessee -7.5
Tennessee in no point in this game will be covering

Georgia -14.5
I really will despise Georgia when they win by 14

EMU +3.5

USC -42.5
Hilarious

Washington +14
The Huskies are pathetic, Beavs roll

Arizona +2.5

Western Kentucky +2
They have a football team?

BC -2.5
I know absolutely nothing about BC, they lost Matt Ryan so I'm sure they are a lesser team compared to last year.

CFB Leans Week 7

I did not get O'Hern picked up on MB, he's currently tied for first in the clubhouse. Awesome. Onto the college football leans that will turn into losers.

Minnesota +12.5
Illinois comes to play every week

Wyoming +23
Wyoming couldn't score with a prostitute

Sly Croom +2.5
This line smells horrible because Vandy is LEGIT!

tOSU -18.5
This line seems high and I am not looking forward to laying that much with the Buckeyes

Colorado St +15

Tennessee +12.5
If UGA scores 14 they'll cover easily

UCF +17
UCF is horrible

Miami-OH +11
No. Ill played Tennessee tough on the road, M-OH lost by 18 at home to Temple

Auburn -18.5
some of these public dogs are ridiculous

Stanford +6
Arizona covers against bad teams

New Mexico +23.5

Western Kentucky +16
thank you ESPN for making sure everyone knows Ball St is now ranked for the first time ever. They're also playing a scrub team in its first year of FBS. Ball St is a LOCK!!!!!!!

North Texas +21.5
I can't believe this is even a lean.

Florida -6
ugh

So. Miss +11

La Tech +7.5
Hawaii is good after getting 6 turnovers against Fresno

CFB Leans Week 5

It's been a hectic week and haven't had much time to do "research". So a day late here are my college leans...

Indiana +8.5
The loss to Ball St last week + Sparty's last two performances were not as good as the score would indicate. Plus Ball St gashed Indiana for 224 rushing yards last week, Ringer will have that amount at the half.

Kent St +17
Ball St just beat a team from a power conference, so the Golden Showers should be no problem. Also how will Ball St react after losing Dante Love?

Memphis +2
I have no justification other than when the line was originally set Memphis was favored. I don't think the oddsmakers made a mistake.

Akron +11
I'm lukewarm on this pick, we'll see what happens in the next 24 hours

Houston +10.5
ECU will bounce back, right?

ND -1
Notre Dame sucks, Purdue is good, appearantly

Tennessee +6.5
This is one of my favorite plays this week. The reasons for backing Tennesse should be obvious I'll see if I can contain myself when deciding how much to bet.

Michigan +6
I have no idea why people are standing in line waiting to back Allen Everidge on the road as a fav

Florida St -5.5
This one is comical. Colorado beats an overrated West Virginia team led by an overmatched, but pleasant Bill Stewart. FSU looks like complete ass on national tv against Wake. FSU will be lucky to even score six points this weekend.

Arkansas +27
I have nothing for this game, most likely a pass unless I decide I want to lose another unit this weekend.

Wyoming +3
Where are all the people early in the year who were backing Wyoming at home against an also-ran from the MAC?

North Texas +17
The Mean Green defense has looked utterly pathetic all year, I see no reason for this to change against Rice. In addition, it doesn't feel right going against a team that lost by 42 their last time out.

TCU +18
Stoops will likely be an asshole in this game

Georgia -6
This game is bizarre. I feel dirty even thinking about backing the preseason #1 at home sporting a 3-0 record, but it's not up to me. It's up to the public

Idaho +11.5
The Vandals laid claim to being the worst to in the FBS last week, I'll be looking at them more seriously as the year progresses

Nevada +4
UNLV is big-time after beating ASU and ISU. Nevada has not looked so good against Texas Tech(should have fucking covered) or Missouri.

CFB Leans Week 4

I don't like this card near as much as the last two weeks. That could be good(4-9 in wk 2) or bad(8-3 last week). The only game that is a definite play come Saturday is Toledo. There are other games where I am leaning heavily (Temple, Arkansas, Buffalo) but nothing is set in stone. Onto the leans...

Temple +28.5: This is more a fade of Penn St than anything else

Ole Miss -7: Vandy is getting way too much love right now. One nationally televised upset win over South Carolina coupled with a 3-0 ATS will turn you public.

Wyoming +28.5: If BYU can beat UCLA 59-0, what will they do against the Cowboys?

Auburn +2.5: The high-octane basketball on grass game that Auburn played against Sly Croom, is stuck in the minds of all those smart bettors who took Auburn. The O38 will get a look as well.

Arkansas +9.5: Arkansas has been 4 points better than their opponents this year, Western Illinois and UL-Monroe. In both of those games the Razorbacks were down double-digits in the 4th. As ugly as Arkansas has looked this year, I'm not disgusted by this play (never a good sign).

Pittsburgh -1: Iowa is a public dog, Pitt hasn't looked good this year. How will Kirk Ferentz's criminals look away from Kinnick?

New Mexico +10: No way New Mexico hangs with Tulsa, just like there was no way NM would hang with Arizona

Air Force +8: I don't think Air Force got the memo that the forward pass is legal.

Army +10: I really don't want to get involved in this clusterfuck, but I think my hand will be forced.

NC St +7.5: Does the fading of ECU continue? I have no idea, the Wolfpack are gruesome enough to play though.

Buffalo +34: Did you know Chase Daniel has more TD passes than incompletions in his last two games? I, honestly, had no idea.

Toledo +7.5: Fresno usually bounces back after a disappointing non-conference loss, right?

Tennessee +7.5: I really want to stay away from this game

Arizona St +7: ASU really hasn't looked good against top-flight competition, that probably won't change this week.

FIU +28.5: KU beat 'em by 30, USF can surely do the same, no?

UL-Monroe +6: Tulane almost beat ECU, who is UL-Monroe?

For tonight's WVU-Colorado game there will be no play.

CFB Leans that will lose money

USF - had to go to OT with UCF, ha! they suck (nevermind USF outgained UCF 2-1 in total yards and UCF was much more motivated than USF). Kansas meanwhile has shown its muscle against FIU and La Tech.

Maryland - Cal destroyed a stellar Wazzu squad coupled with Maryland looking quite formidable against the powerhouses that are Delaware and Middle Tennessee

FAU - Sun Belt sucks

UL-Laf - above

Nevada - I can't imagine this loss being any more painful than last week against Tech

Tulane - fading ECU after two high profile wins

BYU - people talking themselves into UCLA after losing money on them, hell Washington should have won that game!

Purdue - Oregon has rolled twice at home, playing on the road should be no different, Big 10 sucks too.

Spurrier - UGA only laying 7?, A GIFT FROM VEGAS

Syracuse - The Orange really are putrid

Notre Dame - Sagebrush from Covers puts it nicely, "Wouldn't Michigan slaughter Cal-Poly? Ok, let's see...Cal-Poly somehow beats San Diego State...then Notre Dame struggles and barely beats SD St...so my question is how the hell will the fighting irish hang with Michigan...? Don't see it happening!!!"

Va Tech - Line is set up for action on the Ramblin' Wreck

Ohio St - Wells is now doubtful, so the Buckeyes' chances of winning just went from 5% to 0.0001%

Ohio St/USC U45

New Mexico - home games against Idaho and Toledo have shown how superior Arizona is to New Mexico who is 0-2 on the year