Because I'd Rather Not Read My Economics Book.....

Here are my NFL leans

KC -4 oak
Oakland looked shitty on MNF, can't argue that fact. For that reason and KC hanging tough with a Brady-less Patriot squad the Chiefs are getting pounded. I'll take the hapless Raiders and the points.

CINCY -1 ten
Vince Young is out for the Titans and that might actually help them, honestly I have no idea in this game. Titans seem like the easy pick, but I do not bet anything that is easy.

indy -2 MIN
I like the Vikes and the points in this one, no shame in losing on the road to a solid GB team. That and the public is pounding the Colts, so that made it easier.

no -1 WAS
Maybe it's because I didn't see the Redskins play last Thursday, but why the orgy on Nawlins? I'll go with the Washington Redstits (no that's not a typo).

gb -3 DET
This line is disgusting, just god awful. It's either the Lions or no play, probably no play. I'm sure it's because I'm influenced by FO and I still view the Packers as damn near the same team as last year(because they are sans Favre), while downgrading the Lions, who look to be stellar this year.

CAR -3 chi
Battle of teams with surprising week 1 wins, I'll gladly stay away from both thank you.

nyg -9 STL
Rams should be playing in FBS against the Trojans to see who will be the NFL's 32nd team. Leaning Rams....ugh

JAX -5 buf
This would be a great spot to back the Jaguars, but I hate the fact that their missing a big chunk of their offensive line. They still might be a play, but right now it's a pass

TB -7 atl
Atlanta beat up on Detroit at home, TB lost a close one @ New Orleans. Tampa will be without Garcia and Brooks might be out as well. Public likes Atlanta. I like Tampa

SEA -6.5 sf
Seattle must have a plague on their WRs, this game could go either way and that makes it a pass.

ARZ -6 mia
I lean Cardinals, but probably a no play

NYJ -1 ne
Who thought this would be the line a week ago. I thought for a bit that the Pats might be a play, they will not and neither will the Jets

HOU -3.5 bal
I like Houston at this spot, as they were not as bad as they played last week. I have a crush on both these teams and will likely stay away.

sd -1 DEN
Denver beats down on Oakland, San Diego loses at the gun to a previously underrated Carolina squad. If I had to pick I'd be laying that point.

pit -6 CLE
The thought of backing Cleveland makes me sick, If I can bring myself to it I'll be on the Browns

DAL -6.5 phi
Too much going on with this play and what before looked like a slam dunk on the Eagles is looking like a pass, I'll see what develops.

CFB Leans that will lose money

USF - had to go to OT with UCF, ha! they suck (nevermind USF outgained UCF 2-1 in total yards and UCF was much more motivated than USF). Kansas meanwhile has shown its muscle against FIU and La Tech.

Maryland - Cal destroyed a stellar Wazzu squad coupled with Maryland looking quite formidable against the powerhouses that are Delaware and Middle Tennessee

FAU - Sun Belt sucks

UL-Laf - above

Nevada - I can't imagine this loss being any more painful than last week against Tech

Tulane - fading ECU after two high profile wins

BYU - people talking themselves into UCLA after losing money on them, hell Washington should have won that game!

Purdue - Oregon has rolled twice at home, playing on the road should be no different, Big 10 sucks too.

Spurrier - UGA only laying 7?, A GIFT FROM VEGAS

Syracuse - The Orange really are putrid

Notre Dame - Sagebrush from Covers puts it nicely, "Wouldn't Michigan slaughter Cal-Poly? Ok, let's see...Cal-Poly somehow beats San Diego State...then Notre Dame struggles and barely beats SD St...so my question is how the hell will the fighting irish hang with Michigan...? Don't see it happening!!!"

Va Tech - Line is set up for action on the Ramblin' Wreck

Ohio St - Wells is now doubtful, so the Buckeyes' chances of winning just went from 5% to 0.0001%

Ohio St/USC U45

New Mexico - home games against Idaho and Toledo have shown how superior Arizona is to New Mexico who is 0-2 on the year

Monday Night Football

Packers -2 -105 (1)
Packers -3 +128 (.5)

Offseason hype on Minnesota + Packers losing Farve, coupled with shoddy preseason play = this play

NFL Futures

Cleveland U8 EV (.25)
GB O8 -125 (.5)
Oakland U6.5 -135 (.55)
Detroit U6.5 -105 (.5)
Dallas U10.5 +120 (.5)
Baltimore to win AFC North +805 risking (1)

Not a whole lot behind these plays, they are PFP inspired

NFL Week 1

Yesterday night will live in infamy for quite some time. Memphis/Rice and Nevada/Texas Tech will go down as all-timers. It was a disgusting crock of shit. My other losers were just a straight kick in the balls, an all-around solid night for square logic. I guess I need to start looking at stats and trends to justify my plays and not betting on overinflated lines.

Joe Flacco +1 +116 (1)
Texans +6.5 +108 (1)
Buccaneers +3.5 -110 (1)

Passes: Matty Ryan

CFB Week 2

SJSU +28 -110 (1.5)

UTEP +28 -110 (1.5)

Ohio St/Ohio U46.5 -103 (.5)
Pub fade

Duke +6 -103 (1)
Northwestern is only laying 6 to Duke, Duke sucks

UCF +14 -110 (1)
It wouldn't surprise me if my future bet was shot in week 2

Memphis -3 -110 (1)
Memphis - blowout loss + Rice - blowout win over a shitty SMU squad on national tv = this play

North Texas +21.5 -103 (1)
Tulsa will gain 834 yards today against this porous d, I guess Tulsa has the steel curtain on their side.

Washington St +13.5 +103 (1)
This will likely be as painful as last week's game

Nevada -10.5 -107 (1)
Pumpfest on the Texas Tech Pirates

Marshall +21.5 -110 (1)
I cannot even name one Marshall player, which is suprising considering all the game film I've been watching

New Mexico +3 -110 (1)
No way Texas A&M loses two straight in non-conference

Louisiana Tech +21.5 -110 (1)
Pub fade

Toledo +24 -110 (1)
Arizona beat Idaho by 70 last week, surely 25 against Toledo is not too much to ask for

Passes - EMU, Oregon St, Minnesota, Tulane, San Diego St

Nebraska is ONLY -26.5!?

Let me lay it down for everyone who reads this site (maybe 1 person besides me), there is a guy I know who absolutely looks down upon people who gamble. Let's call him Waldo. Waldo thinks it is a complete waste of money. Waldo saw my copy of Pro Football Prospectus and kept saying, "stupid" under his breath because he thought it was a gambling book (it kinda is for win totals, but he is oblivious to that fact) never mind the fact that it is the most informative book you can read on the NFL. It was "stupid".

So imagine my shock when I heard that Waldo wanted to drop some cash on the local university. He wants to do what now? Mr. Moral Superiority wants to lower himself to the dregs of society? This line has enticed him so much that he wants to come down from his soapbox and put down his first wager on Nebraska -26.5. His square thinking is as follows Nebraska is 23 points better than Western Michigan. Western Michigan is at least a TD better than San Jose St. Thus Nebraska should cover their spread against SJSU.

Waldo is right about one thing, for him gambling will be a complete waste of money.

Who Needs Self-Control?

I like way too many games this weekend and it's guaranteed to end badly, here are the leans

NCAAF
EMU +21.5
Marshall +21.5
SJSU +27
Oregon St +16.5
NM +3
Wazzu +13.5
Duke +6.5
Tulane +30
No. Ill +6
UCF +14.5
La Tech +21
North Tejas +22
Minnesota +6
Memphis -3.5
Nevada +10
Toledo +22.5
UTEP +26.5

UTEP is my favorite play right now, followed by SJSU, UCF and Nevada

NFL
Joe Flacco +1
Texans +6.5
Falcons +3
Oh My God they don't have Farve -2.5
Carolina +9.5

I'll probably end up with only a couple plays for NFL week 1, with Flacco and Texans loooking like definite plays.

Labor Day Special Part II

UCLA +7.5 EV (1)

This has no chance of covering

EDIT- bought back, so now if UCLA wins I'm +.237 and if the Fightin' Fulmers win I push. This piece of mind is definitely worth it.

Labor Day Special Part I

Rutgers -3.5 +101 (1)

I noticed this play mid-week when everyone was pumping Fresno and counting out Rutgers because Ray Rice is gone.

There will definitely be a play for tonight's game....I'm sick just thinking about it, but I'm gonna gamble that the books want some of their money back after this weekend was filled with square winners.