NFL Week 12 Leans

I'll have quite a few plays this week, which considering how the NFL has gone lately is not good for my health. I only hope that I'll be able to keep myself composed at the bar.

Cle -3 Hou
Slight lean towards Houston, but I doubt it's a play this weekend with so many other appealing matchups.

KC +3 Buf
Pass

Ten -5.5 NYJ
ESPN thinks this is the week the Jets spring the upset, most of the public is thinking that as well.

Mia PK NE
Definite play on the Dolphins, probably large too.

Dal -10 SF
I would have an extremely tough time backing Dallas in this game, I don't think I can bring myself to do so.

Det +7.5 TB
Does everyone just figure the Lions are going to win a game and this is the week?

Bal -1 Phi
Pass

STL +7.5 Chi
Another slight lean towards a TD+ road fav.

Jax -2.5 Min
Whoever knows what's going to happen in this game knows much more than I do.

Den -9 Oak
I'm glad I won't have to follow this game at all.

Atl -1 Car
Last time I had this many anti-pub favs I got rolled up.

Sea +3 Was
That's more like it.

Arz +3 NYG
Giants will continue their dominance

SD -2.5 Ind
Peyton Manning is back!

NO -2.5 GB
It won't feel right rooting for the Saints

NFL Leans

I've gotten torn apart the last two weeks in the NFL, let's see if I can go for three. Home team is first, leans are in bold.

No thanks
Atl/Den, Mia/Oak, Ind/Hou, GB/Chi, Car/Det, TB/Min, SF/Stl, Dal/Was, Buf/Cle

NYG -7 BAL
As it stands now the Giants are getting enough action to warrant a play on Flacco & Co.

CIN +9 PHI
Even someone as square as Bill Simmons (whose material I enjoy) knows that the Eagles blow out the shitty teams and lay an egg against the good ones. Why should this week be any different?

SEA +3 ARZ
Something about football in the Pacific Northwest is horribly wrong. This is by far the ugliest game on the board. I'll be expecting a Cards blowout win.

JAX +3 TEN
While I enjoy Chris Johnson racking up fantasy points I wouldn't mind another bad game. I just don't think the Jags' D can do the job. That, of course, won't stop me from backing Jacksonville.

KC +5 NO
Fading New Orleans has been far too easy this year, but here I am doing it again this week.

PIT -5.5 SD
Not thrilled at the idea of playing the Chargers, but I'll see how things develop.

NFL Leans

This is the week of anti-pub favs

jax -6.5 DET
Nothing here besides one underachieving team and one horrible team.

ten -3 CHI
Lean Chicago, but I'm still completely undecided on this play

NE -4 buf
Pass

ATL -1 nawlins
Slight lean to the Falcons as a possible anti-pub fav

NYJ -9 stl
Line appears to be high, Jets might be a play.

MIA -9 sea
Pass

MIN -2.5 gb
Reference Atlanta/N.O.

bal -1 HOU
Line has been hammered now so that Flacco is favored. How odd is that? Texas sized lean to the Texans in this one.

car -9 OAK
So many things are disgusting about this game. I might as well give this money to a charity so I could feel good about myself.

SD -15 kc
Chargers, no doubt about it.

PHI -3 nyg
Eagles, no doubt about it.

ARZ -9.5 sf
Lean San Fran, Cardinals should win in a rout.

NFL Leans

MIN -4.5 Hou
I'll pass thank you.

Jax -7.5 CIN
I was leaning Bungles early in the week, but there just aren't enough Jags backers after last week's loss to Cleveland.

Tb -9 KC
Thankfully I can pass this game.

CLE -1.5 Bal
As much as I would like to play the Ravens I do not have the consensus to back me up.

BUF -5.5 Nyj
Line looks high, but its getting more action on Buffalo. Not enough to warrant a play on the Jets though.

Arz -3 STL
Not thrilled at the notion of backing St. Louis, but I could see myself doing so on Sunday.

CHI -12.5 Det
Line is drawing near split-action, no play.

TEN -4.5 Gb
Green Bay is primed, but I don't know if I can justify a play on them.

DEN -3 Mia
If anyone could fill me in as to why Denver is getting backed so hard, it would be appreciated.

Atl -3 OAK
Every week I have my leans and almost every week I lean Al Davis

NYG -9 Dal
This line isn't begging for action on the Cowboys, is it?

Phi -7 SEA
Gross

IND -6 Ne
No thanks

WAS -1.5 Pit
Public dog on MNF = auto play

NFL Leans

Let me start off by saying the NFL card sucks this week. If I had any self-control I would only play the Dolphins this week, but I might get sucked into backing the Texans and others. The week is already off to a great start. I lost a borderline MAC total and the two plays I passed last night both hit. This week will be a great one, I can tell already. Onto the leans...

bal -9 OAK
I was pleasantly surprised that the Raiders came through in OT last week. A slight lean to Al Davis.

sd -3 no
Both teams coming off losses, playing in London. I think I can pass.

NYJ -13.5 kc
Tyler Thigpen alert! Lean the Jets, most likely not a play unless the line moves up another point.

buf -1.5 MIA
This is the game that stands out like a sore thumb in this sea of crap.

DAL -1 tb
Never thought I would be leaning Dallas, but that's what happens when you lose three straight along with your QB. Not to mention the other distractions that are going on. ESPN kept running a promo saying how the Cowboys wouldn't win a game until Romo came back. Might be a nice spot to back the 'Boys.

PHI -9 atl
This line looks a little high. Are the Falcons still patting themselves on the back after their last second win over the Bears?

NE -9 stl
The slightest of leans to the Rams only because the Patriots dominated the Broncos on MNF.

CAR -4 arz
This reminds me of the Chicago-Minny game from last week. Maybe Arizona will personally hand the Panthers 14 points.

was -7.5 DET
Slight lean to the Lions, but this game will be interesting for mostly non-gambling reasons.

JAX -7 cle
No thank you

PIT -2.5 nyg
Two overhyped squads = pass

SF -5 sea
I'm not even sure the last time the Niners were this big of a fave, probably a couple of years. I'm sure this will be an exciting well-played game.

HOU -9 cin
Lean the Texans because I am a masochist

TEN -4 ind
Indy was finally exposed against the Packers, but the Titans still are not getting any respect from the oddsmakers. Most likely a pass.

NFL Leans

ten -8.5 KC
pass

BUF -1 sd
Line movement switches with a majority on San Diego. I'll see how frisky I feel Sunday morning as to whether or not I play Buffalo

pit -9.5 CIN
If I lean anything it would be Pittsburgh, but there's no chance I play this game.

MIA -3 bal
Lean Baltimore, but this will most likely be a pass

dal -7 STL
I'm not getting involved in this game, too many variables in play

CHI -3 min
I don't really want to, but I'll most likely be on the Vikes. This line didn't stand out when I first saw it and it still doesn't, but the Neckbeards are getting hammered. I don't really have a choice.

CAR -3 no
I'll be on the Panthers, no doubt.

NYG -10.5 sf
I can see the Niners covering in this one, but it won't be a play.

HOU -9 det
It'll be nice not to have a vested interest in the Texans this week, they were driving me crazy the last two weeks.

nyj -3 OAK
The hook dropped off early in the week with the Jets getting absolutely pounded. This one is going to be rather ugly and has no chance of a Raiders cover. I, of course, will be on the Raiders.

WAS -7.5 cle
Cleveland is good now, in case you didn't know.

ind -1.5 GB
Packers will be a play, no doubt.

TB -10.5 sea
The Buccaneers gig might be up if they blow out the Seahawks this week. I won't be playing this, but I'm hoping for a gruesome win by Tampa. I don't ask for much.

NE -3 den
Patriots looked horrible last Sunday night. Broncos are getting hammered as a pup. It's Monday Night Football. I'll be on the Pats.

Weekly NFL Insights

Another large NFL card that will end in a mix of anger, frustration, agony, and self-doubt. The lines for the games this week are for the most part, disgusting.

NO -7 oak
Leaning Raiders in all their dysfunctional glory. Nawlins didn't get the win against Minny on MNF, but the consensus is that they gave the game away and are still the better team. Plus Nawlins shut down Adrian Peterson, doing the same against Oakland should be no chore. How are the Raiders going to move the ball, with Jamarcus Russell's arm? I don't think so.

IND -4 bal
After Sage Rosenfels worked his magic, Indy isn't viewed in the same light. They are still overvalued while Baltimore is undervalued. Leaning Joe Flacco.

NYJ -7.5 cin
Under was going to be an autoplay until it was announced Palmer was out. Line has dropped to 42.5, I'll weight my options. Not even looking at the side.

TB -1 car
"I'll keep riding the Bucs as long as no one thinks they're any good." - Sham 10-03-08

MIN -13 det
This line is steep, but this is the Lions. Lean Vikes.

chi -3 ATL
The thought of taking Atlanta makes me sick, looks like a play on the Falcons.

HOU -3 mia
Can I take another helping of Sage? Maybe, I really don't fucking want to though.

WAS -13.5 stl
Rams completely blow, but I'm not ready to back them just yet.

DEN -3.5 jax
Lean Broncos because pub is backing Jax as a dog

phi -4.5 SF
This line is gross, that's why I lean Niners.

dal -5 ARZ
Another line that makes one wonder, like Zona quite a bit.

SEA -1.5 gb
Excuse me while I vomit at the notion of backing the Seahawks again.

SD -5 ne
Lean Bolts

nyg -9 CLE
Browns....ugh

NFL Leans

ind -3 HOU
Surely the Colts will blowout the lowly Texans following their bye week, right?

ten -3 BAL
Lean Ravens in this one, no doubt. Not sure if it will be a play yet.

sd -6.5 MIA
I would be all over the Dolphins this week, but coming of their last performance I'm not so sure.

CAR -9.5 kc
Pass

PHI -5.5 was
Slight chance I play the Eagles, most likely a pass.

chi -3.5 DET
Kyle Orton on the road....as a favorite?......over a FG?.....with the pub all over Neckbeard?.....against a pathetic Lions squad.

GB -? atl
I don't care

NYG -7 sea
Liking the Squaks in this situation

DEN -3 tb
I'll keep riding the Bucs as long as no one thinks they're any good.

ne -3 SF
Remember last week, when I wrote this? Well, let's say it's a slam dunk this week.

ARZ -1 buf
Bills are undefeated. Cardinals gave up 56 last week to NYJ and have lost two straight by multiple scores. Bills are are getting pounded as a dog. I think the play is rather obvious.

DAL -17 cin
I don't want to, but I lean Dallas

JAX -4 pit
Couldn't care less

NO -3 min
Unfortunately the Vikings will most likely be a play

NFL Leans

Den -10 KC
I wonder how many units the Chiefs will cost me this year, 5...10? One thing I am thankful for is that Tyler Thigpen won't be starting this week.

CIN -3.5 Cle
Clusterf*ck = Pass

JAX -7 Hou
I'm waiting for a time to back Houston, this might be the week.

NYJ -1.5 Arz
Lean towards the Jets, but most likely a no play.

NO -5.5 Sf
I don't like betting on or against my favorite teams unless it's a slam dunk, this is not the case.

CAR -6.5 Atl
Slight lean towards the Panthers, it's amazing how a rookie QB can look so good at home against an awful team, but so bad on the road against a decent team. Who'd a thunk it?

TEN -3 Min
Tennessee is the most physical team in the league! The Vikings known for their finesse play, have already pissed themselves. Likely a play on the Vikes.

TB -1 Gb
The line opened at TB -3, who does Vegas want you to take?

Buf -8 STL
I still don't think people know how bad St. Louis really is, looking at the under.

Sd -7.5 OAK
Oakland has looked fiesty in their last two games, San Diego beat down the Jets on Monday Night. Leaning heavily on Al Davis

DAL -11 Was
Passing the side, but the under is definitely worth a look.

Phi -3 CHI
Liking the Bears quite a bit in this matchup, I'll see how things develop.

PIT -5 Bal
I'm thinking this one is a pass

NFL Leans

ATL -6 kc
Tyler Thigpen suited up last week for the Chiefs and I don't know if one could look any worse than he did. Words cannot describe how pathetic Thigpen was against the Raiders. I also have no words to describe why I will be backing him this Sunday

BUF -9.5 oak
Buffalo overvalued, Raiders=Raiders, Leaning heavily on Al Davis this week

TEN -4.5 hou
Tennessee has won and covered their first two games and there has been talk of them being a Super Bowl darkhorse. Houston looked like ass in their opener against the Steelers then has a bye week, who looks like the play?

NYG -13 cin
Obvious lean to the Bengals, but this play might get cut as I tighten up my card for Sunday

WAS -3 arz
pass

NE -12.5 mia
I honestly have no idea

CHI -3 tb
Who thought people would flock to back Neckbeard? Tampa is getting serious consideration.

MIN -3.5 car
Carolina beat San Diego and Chicago without Steve Smith, now they get the winless Vikings who will be dusting off Gus Frerotte. Public is backing a dog yet the line moved a half-point to the Vikings. I wonder what I should do?

SEA -10 stl
Seattle has sucked this year, so has St. Louis. It appears as if someone wants you to take the Rams in this case.

SF -4 det
Passing this clusterfuck

DEN -5.5 no
I can pass on two overvalued teams even if one is getting pounded

PHI -3.5 pit
Did not think I would be leaning Pittsburgh in this game before the year started

IND -5.5 jax
Both teams have struggled, both teams are passes

BAL -2 cle
Baltimore is looking like an auto-play

dal -3 GB
Will most likely be on the Packers

SD -9 nyj
Slight lean towards the Chargers, but most likely a pass

No play in the Uconn-Baylor cluster, I will have my morning and afternoon college plays posted around 9:30am.