Monday, August 31, 2009

You Just Can't Rush Greatness

All for 1x
Jays +170
Dbacks +177
Arz/LAD O8 -107
Royals +137

NFLX
Texans -3.5 +104

1-0 Final

TB/Det O8 -102 1x

Sunday, August 30, 2009

Sunday Bases

TB/Det O8 -103 1x
Padres +145 1x
Screwers -117 1x
Rox +124 1x
As +171 1x

More plays throughout the day

NFLX
Neckbeards -2.5 +103 1x

Saturday, August 29, 2009

Shooting For A Solid 0-3

Twins +103
Feldman v Pavano, this took me about two seconds.

SD/Fla U9 -112
So we meet again. 14.54 ERA meet 5.31 ERA. Hopefully Mr. LeBlanc discovered how to pitch during his most recent stint (and surely not last) in the minors.

Braves +172
I'm sure the Phils will touch up Lowe for 9 runs in an inning. Of course all they'll need is 1 with Cliff Lee on the mound. He's been ridiculous since coming over to the NL, sporting a 39-3 K to BB rate in 40 innings and a .68 ERA. Over was considering for this tilt at well, but I decided to pass on that for some reason.

Just an NFLX Play, Nothing To See Here

0-16 +3 +101 1x

I lied
White Sux +158 1x

Friday, August 28, 2009

Friday Night Baseball

Pads +139
Rays -119
TB/Det O9 -102

Thursday, August 27, 2009

Shit Plays

Shit Pirates +175
Kansas Shitty +151
Shit Sox O10 -107

Entertained the thought of an Atlanta ML play along with Cle/Bal O, but decided to pass both.

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Wednesday's Rushed Plays

Astros +133
Pirates +164
Cle/KC U9.5 -109 (horrible price)
As +105

There would probably be more but I'm strapped for time today. Passed the Royals, White Sox, Reds, SD/Atl O, Phi/Pit U and LAD/Col O.

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Tuesday Diamonds

Nats +244
Arz/SF O7 +132
Padres +232
CWS/Bos U9.5 EV
Cle/KC U8 +102

Monday, August 24, 2009

On The Juice

Illinois O7.5 Wins -140 to win 4x

I like this quite a bit and Mr. Stallone sealed the deal. I'll try to go into further detail when I lay out all of my football futures.

A Real Degenerate...

doesn't even know when the semester starts, tonight's plays.

White Sux +184
Tiggers +120

Saturday, August 22, 2009

Nothing Like .29x Worth Of Profit

Leans for Saturday, completely unfiltered with no "analysis", I don't think anyone would want to hear it anyways. Quite a few totals in the mix for Saturday. I'll have approx 30 minutes to decipher plays in the evening which should keep the card rather small.

Sea/Cle O
Tex/TB O
Fla/Atl O
Dbags
Arz/Hou U
Cin/Pit O
Mets
SF/Col U
Padres
NYY/Bos U - on principle

Haven't checked any of these leans with WL or any other site. That might be for the best though.

Friday, August 21, 2009

Friday Night 4 Pack

As +139
Tribe -124
Jays -121
Giants +155

Thursday, August 20, 2009

This Time I'll Post My Leans BEFORE I Go Out

This card doesn't do much for me. That's probably a good thing though, attempting to pick my spots.

As
Tribe
Jays
Rays
Royals
Giants
Cub Dodger Over

Gio squares off against Edwin, looks to be automatic
Huff and his bloated 6.55 ERA will get a solid look against French and his "respectable" 3.74 ERA

The rest of the leans are weak (the leans are weak, fuckin' leans are weak? You're weak.)

Looking at MRep due to this.
I'm not really sure what to think of Kazmir, but this play is on the radar
Blackburn is 0-6 with an ERA north of 10 in his last 6 starts, I'm not sure I can fade him anymore. Especially in this situation where he lost as a rather substantial favorite against the Royals last week lasting 1.2 giving up 6R (4ER).
Jonny Sanchez vs Aaron Cook, sounds good but I'm hesitant (for some reason) on this one.
Looks like I'm not the only one who likes this over, I do not approve of the early WL returns.

I'm sick of Guthrie and don't want to play him. Good luck to anyone who does, it's a decent look.

Nothing Clever Tonight

Tribe +142
Arz/Phi O9 +111

I feel as though the books are fucking us around when it comes to the Angels on the road. I have no proof, just a biased opinion. The total is questionable, but I saw enough love on the boards for the under to push me over the top.

Looking at the Pads & Wandy later. I'm extremely reluctant to back the 'Stros which should give me the answer on whether or not to play them.

NFLX
Bungles +6.5 +107 1x

Thursday's Leans

Sea/Det O
Reds
Tribe
Bal/TB O
Col/Was U
Arz/Phi O

Plays via 5Dimes because MB will be down until 9am.
Reds +126
Sea/Det O8.5 -102

Wednesday, August 19, 2009

No Time To Get Cute

Although, it worked out yesterday (in the comments)

Tribe +118
Twins +127

Maybe a play later on the NYY/Oak under
EDIT 7:33
NYY/Oak U9

Tuesday, August 18, 2009

Big Pimpin'

This made my night much better. Can't forget Chase Headley in all of this either, his clutch double on a full count with 2 outs brought home the tying run which made the bomb by Blanks possible.

Initial leans for (Taboo) Tuesday in no particular order, except for the first two which will be plays.
Twins
Royals
Tribe
As
Brewers
Marlins
Padres
Sea/Det O
Bos/Tor O
Bal/TB U
Col/Was U
Stl/LAD O

Pavano v. Feldman has autoplay written all over it as does the Royals as a short dog at the Cell. I'm sure Fausto will get torched against the Angels.
Oakland is rather high so that might be a pass, that and I just fucking hate the As. Not sure why but it might have to do with my record playing those bums.
Parra almost always gets a look when he pitches.
Let's see if Nolasco can improve on this gem he pitched last time out against Bud.
I've never heard of Cesar Carrillo, but he worked an effective 2.1 innings against Milwaukee earlier in the season. By effective I mean an FIP of over 24 (disclaimer: small sample size, however a 4.82 ERA, 1.42WHIP and 6.2 K/9 in the minors are not indicators of major league success).

I thought the Ms-Tigers over would be automatic, but the drop to 7.5 makes that less likely. That's almost like taking an over 7 (down to 6.5 by game time) in the National League. Who does that? Same can be said for the Sawx-Jays total as well.
Berken & Price and Jimenez & Stammen appear to be a solid under combos.
As for the final total in LA, Boggs blows and Billingsley has not been close to his early season form (uh-oh getting into some quasi-handicapping).

Monday, August 17, 2009

The Day After

Dbags +157
Padres +115
Twins +127

Sunday, August 16, 2009

Tiger Slayer

Props to the Saw for this post which lead to me improbably taking Y.E. Yang to upend Tiger in the final round of a major.

Sunday Baseball/Golf Megapost

Yang +1900 risking 2x
Stenson +4500 risking .5x
Golf plays were inspired by the Saw

Was/Cin O9 +103 1x
Royals +179 1x
Os -110 2x
Jays +183 1x
Pit/CHC O10.5 -107 1x
Dbags +152 1x
Rox -101 1x
Braves -121 2x

Saturday, August 15, 2009

Worthless Picks

Royals +212
Os +151
Jays +165
Fish +103
Astros +127
SD/Stl O9 +108

This night definitely has 0-fer written all over it. I wish I was joking.

815 Afternoon Bases

Gio code +111
Cle/Min U10 +104
SF/NYM O7 +122

I came uncomfortably close to a play on Cain, far too close.

Kicking Off The Football Season

Without Victory -3 -115 (2x)

The first of many bets on the Detroit Lions no doubt.

Friday, August 14, 2009

Friday Night In The Bus

Os +136
Royals +115
Red Sox -137
Bos/Tex O8.5 -101
Cle/Min U9 -117
Ms +142
Brewers -131
Pads +198
Dbacks +104
As -154

Friday Afternoon

Pirates +212
Pit/CHC O9 -120

Couldn't get my total picked up on MB so I get a shitty price.

I'll have a few more plays sometime this evening. Os & Ms are definite plays at this point with Pads, Royals, Rox, Dbags, As, Min/Cle U, Col/Fla U, Bos/Tex O all up for consideration.

Thursday, August 13, 2009

No Time

I spent all of 1 minute deciding the afternoon's plays

Tribe +106
Royals +159

Wednesday, August 12, 2009

Wednesday Bases

Os -125

Not the most anti-public play ever, but the thought of laying chalk with a pitcher sporting a 2-9 record and 6.72 ERA is gross enough.

Tribe +112
Marlins RL +121 - lame

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

811 Diamonds

Cubs -125
Padres +130
SD/Mil O9 +109
Cin/STL O9 +111
Royals +208
Indians -112
Dbags RL -102
TB/LAA U10 +114

Monday, August 10, 2009

Just 1

Cin/Stl U8.5 +102

Almost passed entirely, probably should have as nothing is particularly attractive to me tonight.

Sunday, August 9, 2009

Sunday Slate

Twins +121 2x
Marlins -106
Fla/Phi O9 +102
Brewers -107
Rox -113
Reds +176
Braves -123

Saturday, August 8, 2009

Figure 8s

Tribe +113
Ms +133
Mil/Hou U9.5 -104
Pirates +172
Braves +177

There may or may not be any plays tomorrow, all depends on how drunk I get this evening.

Friday, August 7, 2009

Much Bigger Card Than I Wanted

Marlins +142
Stl/Pit U7 +125
Brewers +114
Rox -145
NYM/SD U7.5 -108
Os +190
Bal/Tor U9 +129
As +129
Ms -122
Tex/LAA U9.5 +109 - so stupid, auto-loser
TB/Sea O7.5 +104

This is what happens when class is cancelled and there's no work.

Thursday, August 6, 2009

This Will Do It

As +114
Bruce Chen -102

I really didn't want to bet on the As, but I did and they'll lose and I'll get upset.

That's how it goes.

Dusting Off My Free Thursday Three-Pack

Tribe +143
Natinals +157
Bal/Det O9.5 +106

Wednesday, August 5, 2009

What A Shitty Day

Thursday's leans

Tribe
Royals - has double potential
Nats
Dbags
Braves
Red Sox - I feel a little dirty having them show up here
Bal/Det O
Tex/Oak O

This Will Make It 0-5

Brewers +130

"Don't Stop Believing"

Pads +133
Rox +137
Os +178
NYY/Tor U9.5 +114

Passing the White Sox & As, still thinking about the Brew Crew

Tuesday, August 4, 2009

Too Many Plays For Such A Shitty Card

Os +196
Min/Cle U9 -102
KC -101
As +115
Tex/Oak U8.5 EV
Nats +161
Rox +133

Monday, August 3, 2009

I Should Really Be Studying

Instead I spent this morning doing "research" which involves a calculator, checking consensus sites, scanning the covers forum and browsing Fangraphs, Hardball Times and Baseball Prospectus.

Mock +136
Harangutan +130
Parra +200
Anderson -114

Add-ons
Astros +121
SF/Hou O8 +102

Sunday, August 2, 2009

Sunday Basepaths

Dbags +107
LAD/Atl O8 +116
Was/Pit U8.5 -103
Tribe +109
Os +151
As +111
Ms +162

Saturday, August 1, 2009

This Is Noise

Tribe +102, great price
Twins -144
Ms -112
Sea/Tex O8 +105
Dbags -137
Tor/Oak O9 +118
Mil/SD U8 +105

Time to sweat out all the garbage from last night.

Afternooners

White Sox +133
Braves -117