Sunday, November 30, 2008

76 Classic

UTEP +8 -110 (.25)

Looking at more garbage later

NBA Losers

I don't even mean that sarcastically any more, I just can't stop betting the NBA because in my twisted head that's when everything will turn around. At least that's what I tell myself.

Denver -4 +106 (.5)
Tor/LAL U207 +106 (.5)

Hopes Aren't That High

Maybe I can break even today in the NFL, that'd be great

49ers +7 -110 (1)
Redskins +3.5 +108 (1)
Bengals +7 EV (1)
Browns +4.5 -101 (1.5)
Chargers -5.5 -105 (1)

Saturday, November 29, 2008

Generic Comment

T. Boone Pickens +9.5 +116 (1)
ND/USC U50.5 -104 (.5)

1.5+ Unit Loss Coming Up

Minnesota +5.5 -108 (.5)
Sacramento +4.5 EV (.5)
Milwaukee +7 +101 (.5)

I Hate The NBA

Baylor +22 -102 (1)
Tulane +14 -103 (1)
SMU +15.5 -110 (1)
Marshall +15.5 +103 (1)
Florida St +17 -110 (1)

Friday, November 28, 2008

Friday Night Donations

NBA
Philadelphia +8.5 +103 (.75)
OKC ML +124 (.5)
Portland -5 +105 (.5)
Dal/LAL U205 +107 (.75)

NCAAB
C of C +1 -106 (.25)

NCAAF
Fresno/Boise U57 -110 (.75)

The Beat Goes On

EMU +11 -110 (1.5)
Kent St +9 +105 (1.5)
Arkansas +5 +108 (1)

Might be back with a Fresno/Boise under play

Thursday, November 27, 2008

The Eagles are favored!?

This was the reaction of a couple of my cousins who consider themselves avid sportsfans, at the end of the night they'll probably be right.

Eagles -3 -110 (1.5)
Arz/Phi U48.5 EV (.5)

One Step Forward, Three Steps Back

NFL
Winless +11 -106 (1)
Seattle +13 -110 (1)
Sea/Dal U46.5 -106 (.5)

NBA
Washington +3 +102 (.75)

NCAAB
CSF +11.5 +123 (.25)
Wichita St +16.5 -105 (.25)

I'll have a play for tonight's NFL game as well. Good luck to everyone.

Wednesday, November 26, 2008

At Least I'll Be At The Pawnee

That's really my only consolation for tonight.

NBA
Capt Jack +12 +103 (.5)
Philly -5 EV (.5)
Minny +4 -106 (1)
Chi/SA O190.5 +106 (.5)
LA Shitshow +4 -104 (1)

NCAAB
UAB +5.5 -110 (.25)

Passing Elon & WKU

Early College Hoops

Oregon +11.5 -110 (.5)

Tuesday, November 25, 2008

A Profit Woulde Be Nice

NCAAF
WMU/Ball St U55 +107 (.75)

NBA
Knicks +8.5 +104 (.5)
Thunder +10 -101 (.75)

NCAAB
Nebraska -9 -110 (.25)
Ark LR +3 -104 (.25)
St Bonnies +6 +105 (.25)
Washington +6 -106 (.25)

Monday, November 24, 2008

MNF 2H Play

U27.5 +105 (.25)

Goodnight, Travel Well

NFL
NO -1 +101 (.5)
NO -2.5 +118 (.5)
GB/NO U51 +107 (.5)

NBA
Charlotte +3 +102 (.5)
Miami +3.5 +103 (.5)
Memphis +3 +101 (.75)
LAC +5.5 -102 (.75)

NCAAB
Wisconsin +5 -106 (.25)
Washington +5.5 -103 (.5)

Losing Touch

At least I picked up Day & Age, there's one good thing that's happened in the last 48 hours.

St. Joes +8.5 -103 (.25)

This will not be another one.

Sunday, November 23, 2008

This Play Won't Hit Because It's Not Square

Whale's Vagina -3 -102 (1)

passing Timberwolves

Sellthehousesellthecarsellthekidsfindsomeoneelseforgetiti'mnevercomingbackforgetit

Not really, but who knows after today's slate.

Houston +2.5 +114 (1)
Miami ML +117 (1.5)
Tennessee -5.5 +102 (1.5)
Seattle +3.5 -110 (1)
Arizona +3 EV (1)

Saturday, November 22, 2008

Ending The Night On A Painful Note

NCAAF
Oklahoma -7 +101 (1)
Arizona -2.5 -110 (1)
UL-Lafayette +10 +115 (1)

NBA
Cleveland -12 +102 (.5)
LAC +3.5 -107 (.5)
Memphis -3 +104 (.5)

Hungover > Lucid

Wake +1 -101 (1)
Penn St -16 -103 (1)
Illinois -2.5 -110 (1)
Nevada +6 +112 (1.5)

I'm No Good Hungover

I missed out on Army, Louisville, WV/Louis and tOSU/Michigan Unders.

Only one loser for the early games
Tennessee +3 +105 (1)

Friday, November 21, 2008

Hopefully I Can Break Even

NBA
Minnesota +6 -105 (.75)
Washington +6.5 -103 (.75)
Toronto -8.5 -101 (.5)
Indiana +2 EV (.5)
OKC +10 -105 (.5)

NCAAF
BG -4 -107 (1)

NCAAB
Middle Tennessee +10 +105 (.5)
LaSalle +16.5 -110 (.25)
So. Illinois +8 -104 (.25)

NFL Week 12 Leans

I'll have quite a few plays this week, which considering how the NFL has gone lately is not good for my health. I only hope that I'll be able to keep myself composed at the bar.

Cle -3 Hou
Slight lean towards Houston, but I doubt it's a play this weekend with so many other appealing matchups.

KC +3 Buf
Pass

Ten -5.5 NYJ
ESPN thinks this is the week the Jets spring the upset, most of the public is thinking that as well.

Mia PK NE
Definite play on the Dolphins, probably large too.

Dal -10 SF
I would have an extremely tough time backing Dallas in this game, I don't think I can bring myself to do so.

Det +7.5 TB
Does everyone just figure the Lions are going to win a game and this is the week?

Bal -1 Phi
Pass

STL +7.5 Chi
Another slight lean towards a TD+ road fav.

Jax -2.5 Min
Whoever knows what's going to happen in this game knows much more than I do.

Den -9 Oak
I'm glad I won't have to follow this game at all.

Atl -1 Car
Last time I had this many anti-pub favs I got rolled up.

Sea +3 Was
That's more like it.

Arz +3 NYG
Giants will continue their dominance

SD -2.5 Ind
Peyton Manning is back!

NO -2.5 GB
It won't feel right rooting for the Saints

CFB Leans Week 13

Not feeling like much of an intro. Home team is listed first and leans are in bold.

Rutgers -19 Army
Not sure if Army will make the cut.

Louisville +7 West Virginia
This is another one of my weaker leans as it stands now.

Vandy -3 Tennessee
Tennessee really shouldn't show up for their game on Saturday. If you can't beat Wyoming you don't walk into Vanderbilt Stadium and lose by less than a FG. If you don't believe here are a few articulate views.

Wyoming +2 Colorado St
Line dropped while most of the consensus sites have Colorado St getting hammered.

Arkansas St -4 Florida Atlantic
How can the mighty FAU Owls be giving points?

Northwestern +3 Illinois
Here's to Illinois not shooting themselves in the fight multiple times.

Wake -2 BC
I love the ACC as a conference, hopefully it continues this weekend.

Rice -9.5 Marshall
Trying to fade Rice each week hasn't worked out so well this year.

Penn St -15.5 Michigan St
Formula to winning against Penn St is a power running game, Michigan St has this so it should be a close game.

Nevada +7 Boise St
One of my favorite games of the week.

Arizona -2.5 Oregon St
Oregon St is going to the Rose Bowl

Troy -10 UL-Lafayette
If Troy led LSU 31-3, how won't they easily dispatch of the Rajun' Cajuns?

Maryland +1 FSU
See Wake-BC

Oklahoma -7 Texas Tech
How the #2 team in the country is a TD dog is beyond me

Early Hoops Play

Larry Eustachy +6.5 -102 (.25)

Thursday, November 20, 2008

Tonight's Action

Overslsept only by a couple of hours, oh well

NCAAF
GT -3 +102 (1.5)

NFL
Cin/Pit U34.5 -108 (.75)

NBA
Boston -6.5 +102 (.5)
Lakers/Suns U206 +107 (.5)

San Juan Seemed Like An OK Place

Putting this one in before I take a much needed nap

Mocs +23 -102 (.75)

Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Slowly, But Surely

NCAAF
Ball St/CMU U56 +110 (.75)

NBA
Minnesota +3 +111 (.75)
San Antonio -1 -102 (.5)

Tuesday, November 18, 2008

Tuesday Night Plays

NCAAF
Kent St +3 -110 (1)

NBA
Indiana -3 -108 (.75)
Washington -2 -110 (.75)

NCAAB
Youngstown St +20.5 -102 (.25)
Tulane +21.5 +104 (.25)
LaSalle +3 -110 (.25)

Passed the Nets and UAB, still contemplating SDSU later this evening

Clippers = Bums

Which is all the more reason they will get plenty of looks throughout the season. Fuck.

I want a loser to wake up to, so here it is
St. Mary's -21.5 +105 (.25)

Monday, November 17, 2008

Monday Hoops

NBA
OKC +8.5 +104 (.5)
This is getting old

LAC -2.5 -105 (.75)

NCAAB
North Texas +12.5 +104 (.25)
OK St is out for blood after last year. They made a pact this summer to beat North Texas by at least 15 points

Loyola-Chicago +7 -104 (.25)

Possibly St. Mary's much later in the evening

"Ghosts Of The Past That Haunt Me. I Recognize Where I Was Wrong."

While the Dillinger Four lyric that encaputres the title of this post is in no way applicable to betting, it rings true for myself in regard to this past week.

The first two weeks on the NBA season I had 32 plays. This past week I had 26 for -4.868 units. The plan when the season started was to not play so many games right off the bat. Into the third week of a 7+ month season I was careless with my plays. Games that I had passed the first two weeks hit, so I thought I should play those borderline games in week three. It was a bad decision on my part and hopefully a lesson learned.

There might be a few college basketball plays up later this afternooon

Sunday, November 16, 2008

Nice Ending

Phoenix -2 -105 (.75)
Sacramento -2 -108 (.75)
Minnesota +9.5 -103 (.5)

I Hate This Card

Seahawks +3 -110 (1)
Chargers +5 -105 (1)

Saturday, November 15, 2008

These Games Will Give Me A Reason To Drink

NCAAF
Colorado +18 -110 (1)
SMU +13 EV (1)
Washington +7 -110 (1)

NBA
Cleveland -10.5 EV (.75)
Minnesota +1.5 +104 (.75)

College Football Action

This is it until the night games

Iowa -17.5 +103 (1)
Auburn +9.5 -101 (1)
Syracuse +10 -110 (1)
Utah St +14 -107 (1)
Kansas +14 -110 (1)
Florida -21 -104 (1)
Illinois +9.5 -110 (1)

Friday, November 14, 2008

This Could Get Ugly

What's this could talk? It WILL get ugly. How on earth I ended up with this many NBA plays is beyond me and I'm sure I will suffer the consequences. If anyone wants a quick buck simply fade these plays, it's that easy.

NBA
New Jersey +3.5 -104 (1)
Memphis -4.5 EV (.75)
OKC +8.5 -102 (.5)
New Orleans -7 +101 (.5)
Dallas -1.5 +101 (.5)
Utah/Cha U179 -102 (.5)
Hou/SA U173 -101 (.5)

NCAAB
Western Carolina +26.5 -101 (.25)

NFL Leans

I've gotten torn apart the last two weeks in the NFL, let's see if I can go for three. Home team is first, leans are in bold.

No thanks
Atl/Den, Mia/Oak, Ind/Hou, GB/Chi, Car/Det, TB/Min, SF/Stl, Dal/Was, Buf/Cle

NYG -7 BAL
As it stands now the Giants are getting enough action to warrant a play on Flacco & Co.

CIN +9 PHI
Even someone as square as Bill Simmons (whose material I enjoy) knows that the Eagles blow out the shitty teams and lay an egg against the good ones. Why should this week be any different?

SEA +3 ARZ
Something about football in the Pacific Northwest is horribly wrong. This is by far the ugliest game on the board. I'll be expecting a Cards blowout win.

JAX +3 TEN
While I enjoy Chris Johnson racking up fantasy points I wouldn't mind another bad game. I just don't think the Jags' D can do the job. That, of course, won't stop me from backing Jacksonville.

KC +5 NO
Fading New Orleans has been far too easy this year, but here I am doing it again this week.

PIT -5.5 SD
Not thrilled at the idea of playing the Chargers, but I'll see how things develop.

CFB Leans Week 12

I'm a little wary heading into college foots this week. I've been doing too good* lately, the other shoe has to drop. Home team is listed first and my lean is in bold. Onto my attempts to justify plays.

Iowa -17.5 Purdue
Not sure if I'll play this, as the line has shifted a full three points in favor of the Hawkeyes and I might have missed my chance. I find it interesting how Vegas didn't set a line to attract Iowa action coming off their biggest win in years, but instead wants you to take the Boilermakers and their All-American kicker. Even after setting that line it moves another three points, which will only attract more Purdue action.**

Clemson -10.5 Duke
Here's to someone knowing why Clemson is a double-digit fav.

Illinois +9.5 Ohio St
Ohio St is coming off a waxing of NW*** while Illinois lost to Western Michigan. Sometimes the play is just that sickening.

Kansas +13.5 Texas
I find it comforting that as hard as Texas is getting pounded the line has only gone up .5 point and hasn't yet reached 14.

Auburn +10 Georgia
Auburn has 2 FBS wins in the past 2 months. Those came over Mississippi St 3-2 and Tennessee 14-12. Add in a 1-8 ATS for Auburn who only covered in the first week of the season and it's rather gross. How doesn't Georgia's high-powered offense cover this. Auburn has only averaged 10 ppg in conference. That means all Georgia has to do is get to 21, right?

LT -14 Utah St
It's amazing how bettors won't touch a team one week (see SJSU -8 against LT) and are all over them the next week.

Kant St +6 Nebraska
Trying to avoid this game as much as possible. Will Grimace be smart enough to attack Nebraska's thin linebacking corps? Maybe, but even when Nebraska sucked last year they beat K-St by 42. Surely an improved Nebraska team can win by 7. As a student and a fan, I'm a little worried about this game.

Florida -22.5 South Carolina
This line might be jacked up a little, it doesn't feel right to back a team that people are calling the best in the country. I'm sure South Carolina and their "#3 ranked defense" (thank you ESPN for bringing this to everyone's attention) should be able to slow down Florida a little. But Florida actually has the better defense and who is the best team South Carolina played on the road this year(Mississippi? Kentucky?). Not exactly hostile environments.

Baylor -8 Texas A&M
When was the last time Baylor was more than a TD fav? The betting public seems to be as perplexed as I am about this.

Oregon -6 Arizona
Line was steamed 2.5 points in favor of the Ducks. Someone must like one of these overrated teams better than the other.

Syracuse +10 Uconn
Not much here just a pub fade play

Colorado +18 Oklahoma St
I'm sick at the thought of playing this game. Maybe Colorado won't play like complete garbage for once.

UTEP -13 SMU
After a few mid-season covers Meth was becoming a little too popular for my tastes. After a couple of sterling performances where they let bettors down they're due for another shot. There is nothing better than a horrible team covering for a couple weeks, drawing in your average bettor only to disappoint. Which in turn brings them back down for a play. UTEP is also in the same boat as LT stated above.

Washington +7 UCLA
I loathe Washington more than any other college team

Also considering UAB, SDSU, BC and any others I feel like.

*In college football, certainly not anything else
** I might have just convinced myself to back Iowa
*** We know the books don't hold the Wildcats in high regard

Thursday, November 13, 2008

Let's See What We Got Here

Today in class my professor used the initials EMU to discuss the European Monetary Union. All I could think about was Eastern Michigan University and how they're 2-1 this year for me.

If that doesn't tell you all there is to know about where my priorities are at I don't know what will. Tonight's losers are as follows.

NCAAF
Miami-FL -4.5 +104 (1)

NBA
Golden State +4.5 +104 (.75)

NCAAB
Miami-OH +15 +101 (.5)
M-OH/UCLA U124 -110 (.25)

Wednesday, November 12, 2008

Slowly Going Broke

Boston -10.5 -102 (1)
Washington +4.5 -104 (1)
Philly +6 -109 (.5)
OKC +7 +104 (.5)
Hornets -1.5 -103 (.5)
LAL/NO U196 +106 (.5)

Passing Portland, Northern Illinois

Tuesday, November 11, 2008

I Hate Pro Totals

That won't stop me from betting on three of them tonight

NCAAF
RAUDABAGH! +19 -105 (1)

NBA
Charlotte +3 -104 (1)
Dallas +5.5 +106 (.5)
LAL/Dal U196.5 (.5)
NY/SA O197 (.5)
Mins/GS U206 (.5)

Monday, November 10, 2008

Monday Night 3-Sport Losers

Did you know Presbyterian moved into the Big South this year?

NFL
SF +9.5 +103 (1)
SF/Arz U47.5 -106 (.75)

NBA
Mem/Phx U196.5 +105 (.5)

NCAAB
Presbyterian +36.5 +110 (.25)

EDIT
7:53 PM
Toronto +8 2H EV (.25)

Sunday, November 9, 2008

All Of Today's Action

NFL
Chicago ML +128 (.5)
Atlanta PK -110 (1)
Minnesota -2.5 -107 (1)
Houston -1 -105 (1)
Oakland +9 +101 (1.5)
San Diego -15.5 +107 (1.5)
Philadelphia -3 -103 (1.5)

NBA
OKC +4.5 EV (.75)
LAC +4 -101 (.75)
Memphis +8.5 -106 (.75)

Saturday, November 8, 2008

I Will Be Paid Back In Full For the Thunder Cover

Starting tonight

Nawlins -9.5 -110 (.75)
Chicago +1.5 +109 (.75)
Milwaukee +5.5 +102 (.75)

Rest of Today's Football Losers

LSU +3 +108 (1)
Iowa +8 -110 (1.5)
Washington +15 -110 (1)
Cincy +7.5 -110 (1)
Western Kentucky +18 -110 (1)
La Tech +7 +105 (1)

Early College Action

Purdue +10 -110 (1)
Kentucky +13.5 -106 (1)
Utah St +35 EV (1)
Nebraska -1 -110 (1.5)
Baylor +28 -110 (1)

Friday, November 7, 2008

Cue The Wolf Howling...

Nevada -1 -110 (2)

I might wind up in a bodybag

NBA Action

Charlotte +7.5 -101 (.75)
New Jersey +7.5 -103 (.5)
Chicago +4.5 -106 (.75)
OKC +11 +104 (.75)

NFL Leans

This is the week of anti-pub favs

jax -6.5 DET
Nothing here besides one underachieving team and one horrible team.

ten -3 CHI
Lean Chicago, but I'm still completely undecided on this play

NE -4 buf
Pass

ATL -1 nawlins
Slight lean to the Falcons as a possible anti-pub fav

NYJ -9 stl
Line appears to be high, Jets might be a play.

MIA -9 sea
Pass

MIN -2.5 gb
Reference Atlanta/N.O.

bal -1 HOU
Line has been hammered now so that Flacco is favored. How odd is that? Texas sized lean to the Texans in this one.

car -9 OAK
So many things are disgusting about this game. I might as well give this money to a charity so I could feel good about myself.

SD -15 kc
Chargers, no doubt about it.

PHI -3 nyg
Eagles, no doubt about it.

ARZ -9.5 sf
Lean San Fran, Cardinals should win in a rout.

CFB Leans Week 11

INDIANA +9.5 wisconsin
Battle of the Big 11 titans, line drop is a good sign in this one.

NW +11 tosu
This has Ohio St blow out written all over it.

purdue +9.5 SPARTY
Vegas must think Sparty is trash.

UNC -4 gt
Tar Heels are borderline, I have doubts they'll be playable.

KENTUCKY +12 uga
Georgia has too much pride to beat Kentucky by anything less than two TDs.

utah st +35 BOISE
I really do hate Boise St.

NEB -1.5 kansas
Hopefully Nebraska doesn't fall down 35-0 after the first this week.

IOWA +7.5 penn st
I have no choice.

LSU +3 alabama
I am looking for any reason not to play this.

wku +16.5 TROY
Western Kentucky gave North Texas their first win of the year, that's all anyone needs to know about the Hilltoppers.

fired grimace +27.5 MIZZOU
63-24 Missouri seems about right.

WASHINGTON +14.5 arizona st
Gross

cincy +6.5 WV
Maybe Cincinnati can hand West Virginia the game like Uconn did last week.

ok st +3.5 TT
I'm looking for a letdown coming off last week's GOY

lt +7 SJSU
This should be a thrilling game

Thursday, November 6, 2008

I Hate Los Angeles Basketball

Philly +5 -103 (.5)
Portalnd +5 +101 (.5)

Still mulling my options CFB options. If I have any borderline play I feel like forcing I'll make sure it's posted.

Wednesday, November 5, 2008

Wednesday Night Hoops

Indiana +3.5 -104 (1)
OKC +9 EV (1)
Minny +5 -105 (1)
LAL/LAC U193 +106 (.5)

Tuesday, November 4, 2008

I Don't Feel Too Good About Tonight

Miami-OH +9 -105 (1)

NBA
Nets +7 -108 (1)
Mavs +4 +102 (1)

Attempting To Profit Off The Election

GOP +1250 risking .276
Dems -550 risking 3.45

Props to VW for bringing this to my attention

Monday, November 3, 2008

Monday Night Pain

Looking to further a couple of important streaks: 0-5 in NFL, 0-7 NFL totals, 0-3 in NBA
I sincerely apologize to anyone who is on these same plays tonight

Redskins -3 +116 (1)
Pit/Was U37 +104 (.75)

NBA
76ers -12 +102 (1)
Grizzlies +2 EV (.5)
Clippers +6.5 +105 (1)

Passing GS/Mem Under

Sunday, November 2, 2008

NFL Plays

St Louis +3 +103 (1)
Mia/Den O49 -110 (1)
Oakland +3 -110 (1)
Seattle +6.5 +103 (1)

Saturday, November 1, 2008

Saturday Night Two-Sport Losers

UNLV +16.5 -104 (1)
UTEP +2.5 +109 (1)
New Mexico +7 EV (1)
Tulane +28.5 +114 (1)

NBA:
Minnesota +5.5 +110 (1)
Milwaukee -1 -106 (.5)
Portland +9 -108 (.5)

Too Much Going On

Uconn +4 -110 (1)
Iowa St +31 -110 (1)
Baylor +21 +101 (1)
Colorado +4 +101 (1)
Wisconsin +5.5 -103 (1)
Pitt +6 -110 (1)
LT +5 -110 (1)
Tennessee +7 -110 (1)
Cal -2.5 -103 (1)
Temple +7 +101 (1)
NMSU +21.5 -109 (1)
Arky St +25 -110 (1)

NBA
Indiana +6 -104 (1)