NYE NBA Losers

OKC ML +124 (.5)
Toronto +2 +121 (.5)

Passed the Den/Tor Under.

Hope everyone has a great New Year's

Insight Bowl

Minnesota +8 +112 (.75)

New Year's Eve

NCAAF
Vanderbilt +4.5 +115 (1.5)

NCAAB
Utah +5 -110 (.5)
DePaul +6.5 +108 (.5)

Still contemplating Minnesota and the god-foresaken NBA

Primed And Ready To GIve Back Yesterday's Profits

These plays should accomplish just that

NCAAF
Nevada -1 -110 (1)
Western Michigan +2.5 +104 (.75)

NCAAB
South Carolina +2.5 -101 (.5)
Arkansas +5.5 -103 (.5)
UAB +6 -106 (.5)

NBA
Indiana -1 +103 (.5)
Miami +5 +110 (.5)
Memphis +3.5 -104 (.5)
New Orleans -14 -103 (.5)

Passed Portland due to Roy's injury moving the line along with Oregon because of the nature of that line movement.

Here's to not getting completely demolished today.

Monday Night Card

NCAAF
NW +12 +110 (1.25)
NW/Mizzou U66.5 -104 (.5)

NCAAB
Charleston +4.5 +103 (.5)
Weber St +19 EV (.5)

NBA
OKC +9.5 +102 (.5)

Passing Northwestern ML, Baylor, Pistons and 76ers.

Good luck tonight.

I See The NFL Went Well

Yale +17.5 -104 (.5)

Sunday NFL Plays

TB -13 +109 (.75)
Min -7 EV (.75)
Buf +5.5 -105 (.75)

My Form Of Charity

Fucks -5.5 +106 (1)
Sprockets -10.5 +102 (.5)

Saturday's College Bowl Plays

UNC +2 -104 (1.25)
Wisconsin +6 -107 (.5)

NBA Donations

OKC/DET O195.5 +102 (.75)
GS +10.5 +102 (.5)

Motor City Bowl

Florida Atlantic +7 +106 (1)

FEI rankings kept this from being a larger play, still mulling my NBA options

Hope Everyone Had A Merry Christmas

Now it's time to start losing money

Fairfield +22 +109 (.5)

Due to traveling I still have to look over the NBA card. Also, I will have a definite play on the Owls later tonight.

San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl

TCU -3 -107 (.75)
TCU/Boise U45.5 -102 (.5)

I was going to play TCU for double what I am playing them tonight, but due to the line shift I lowered my amount.

Crappy Hoops Plays

Putting these plays in right now due to travel. I will most likely have another play or two later in the evening.

NBA
Philly +13 EV (.5)
Hornets -2.5 -101 (.5)
Bucks -1 -107 (.5)
Blazers -8 -101 (.5)

NCAAB
Wisconsin -1 -102 (.75)
Marshall +8.5 -103 (.5)

Monday Night 3-Sport Losers

NFL
GB +4 -102 (.75)

NBA
Sac/SA O198 +108 (.5)

NCAAB
Northeastern +1.5 -110 (.5)

Back To Your Regularly Scheduled Football Losers

Southern Miss +4 +110 (.75)

A Reprieve From Football To Post NBA Losers

Wizards +6.5 -103 (.5)
Thunder +13 +103 (.75)

These are both losers, no doubt.

Sunday Football II

Redskins +5 -102 (1)
Raiders +7.5 -110 (1.5)

Sunday Football I

Titans +2.5 +115 (1)
Browns -2.5 +102 (1)
Chiefs +3 +115 (1)

Saturday Night Action

NBA
76ers -10.5 EV (.5)
Hornets -15.5 -104 (.5)
Timberpups +5.5 -105 (.5)
Bulls +2.5 -102 (.5)

NCAAF
Arizona -3.5 +107 (1)

Still trying to get a couple of college hoops plays picked up.

EDIT: 6:10
NCAAB
FIU +5.5 -105 (.5)
Jacksonville St +5 -106 (.5)
Northwestern +4.5 EV (.5)

Things are going to get ugly tonight

Saturday Hoops

Gonzaga -3.5 EV (.25)
Drake -1 +104 (.25)
Auburn +3.5 -105 (.25)

Also had New Mexico +2 -106 (.5) loser earlier

Friday Night Hoops

I had to trim a lot off the NBA card (Heat, Nets, Zards and Clips) to make the losses tonight manageable.

NBA
Chi/Bos O196 EV (.5)
Bucks +4 +102 (.5)
Thunder +6 EV (.5)
Nugs -1 EV (.5)

NCAAB
Richmond +7.5 EV (.5)

Finals Week Kinda Sucks

NFL
Jags +6.5 -110 (1)

NBA
Portland -4 -109 (.5)
Phx/Portland U204 +103 (.5)

Wednesday Night 0-5 Special

NBA
Atlanta +3.5 +103 (.5)

Minnesota +10 -106 (.5)
won't even be close

Milwaukee +3.5 EV (.5)

New Jersey +2.5 +105 (.5)
Utah will put up 115

NCAAB
Austin Peay +6 -104 (.5)

Taking An Under with Ken Dorsey Under Center?

Doesn't feel right

Cle/Phi U39.5 -106 (.75)

FO finally pushed me to take this total given the recent performances of each team.

Monday Hoops Action

NBA
Milwaukee +3.5 -103 (.5)
Golden St +3.5 -102 (.75)

NCAAB
Cleveland St +10.5 -110 (.5)
Waited too long to put this in

Throw Up Night in America

Dallas -3 -101 (1)
Dal/NYG U47 -110 (.75)

Three predictions for tonight
1)The game goes over
2)Dallas does not cover
3)Dallas will win

Ram Tough

Colorado St +5 +107 (.5)

Sunday's Slate

Jacksonville +2.5 -101 (1)
Houston +3 -101 (1.5)
Baltimore -2 -110 (1)
Oakland +7.5 -110 (1)
Minnesota +3 +118 (1)

NCAAB
UIC Flamers +7 +112 (.5)

Good luck today

Tonight's Card

Hawks +4 -101 (.5)
Boobcats +1 +105 (.5)

Still looking over the CBB/NBA card

EDIT - 6:24
Portland +17.5 -105 (.25)
Northern Colorado +20 -103 (.25)

EDIT - 7:29
OKC +13 +101 (.5)
Denver -15 -108 (.5)
LAC +4 -101 (.5)

I fully expect to go 0-5 in NBA

College Hoops

Georgia St +6 -107 (.5)

Tonight Is Going To Hurt

76ers +10.5 -106 (.5)
Grizzlies +2 -101 (.5)
Timberpups +8 -104 (.5)
Phi/Cle U189.5 +104 (.375)

Yesterday Was An Obvious Fluke

NBA
76ers +6.5 -104 (.75)
Lakers -12.5 +105 (.5)
Nets -8.5 +106 (.5)
Timberpups +12.5 -102 (.5)

NCAAB
Creighton -6 -106 (.5)

Passing 76ers/Cavs Under, Princeton and Ohio

How Much Will I Lose Tonight?

NBA
Queens +11.5 +103 (.75)
Timberpups +4.5 +107 (.75)
Washington Mystics +4.5 +104 (.5)
Bulls -7.5 -103 (.5)

NCAAB
West Virginia Hillbillies -2 -103 (1)
Idaho St Bungles +19.5 EV (.5)
Georgia +3.5 -107 (.25)

My guess is 2.75. I know that's optimistic, but what can I say. There's always a silver lining.

Passing Nova, Tex/Nova Under & Milwaukee. Those will surely hit because my passes are far better than any of my plays. Good luck.

2008 Bowl Game Plan

The first line was my guess and the second, bolded line is the actual line.

Eagle Bank
Wake -8.5 vs Navy
Wake -3 vs Navy A little surprised this isn't higher

New Mexico
Fresno -3.5 vs Colorado St
Fresno -3 vs Colorado St

St. Petersburg
USF -12 vs Memphis
USF -13 vs Memphis

Las Vegas
Arizona -3 vs BYU
Same

New Orleans
Troy -3.5 vs Southern Miss
Troy -4 vs Southern Miss

Poinsettia
TCU -2 vs Boise St
TCU -1.5 vs Boise Thank you Vegas

Hawaii
Notre Dame -2 vs Hawaii
Hawaii -1.5 vs Notre Dame The island advantage

Motor City
Central Michigan -8.5 vs Florida Atlantic
Central Michigan -6.5 vs Florida Atlantic

Meineke
West Virginia -1 vs North Carolina
West Virginia PK vs North Carolina

Champs
Florida St -5 vs Wisconsin
Florida St -4.5 vs Wisconsin

Emerald
Cal -3.5 vs Miami
Cal -6.5 vs Miami

Independence
Louisiana Tech PK vs Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois -2 vs Louisiana Tech I had no idea in this game

Papajohns
Rutgers -3.5 vs NC St
Rutgers -6.5 vs NC St Mike Teel must be impressing some people

Alamo
Missouri -11 vs Northwestern
Missouri -13.5 vs Northwestern I was really hoping this line was set lower than this, Missouri is nothing special this year. Strictly living off their rep from last year. Mizzou actually had something you could call a defense last year.

Humanitarian
Maryland -5 vs Nevada
Nevada -1 Maryland Vegas has been high on Nevada all year long, I really should have known better

Texas
Rice -4 vs Western Michigan
Rice -3 vs Western Michigan

Holiday
Oregon -1 vs Oklahoma St
Oklahoma St -4 vs Oregon I'm not sure what I was thinking with this one

Armed Forces
Houston -5 vs Air Force
Houston -3 vs Air Force

Sun
Pittsburgh -2.5 vs Oregon St
Oregon St -3 vs Pitt I just assumed both Rodgers brothers were going to be out for this one. I take it Quizz will be playing?

Music City
Boston College -10 vs Vanderbilt
Boston College -4 Vanderbilt Vandy is garbage and I'll be forced to take them

Insight
Kansas -9.5 vs Minnesota
Kansas -10 vs Minnesota

Chick-fil-A
GT -4 vs LSU
Same

Outback
Iowa -5.5 vs South Carolina
Iowa -3 South Carolina

Capital One
Georgia -9 vs Michigan St
Georgia -7 Michigan St

Gator
Nebraska -3 vs Clemson
Clemson -3 vs Nebraska I'll be rooting against my university, my hands are tied. I was afraid this would happen. Vegas has been respecting Clemson with the lines they've set for them in the latter part of the year. Many will look at Clemson and see 5 losses, but they are a totally different team since Dabo took over. By totally different, I mean much much better.

Rose
USC -9 vs Penn St
USC -10 Penn St

Orange
VT -1 vs Cincinnati
Cincinnati -2 vs VT I like Cincy quite a bit in this matchup

Cotton
Texas Tech -7.5 vs Mississippi
Texas Tech -6.5 vs Mississippi

Liberty
ECU -3 vs Kentucky
ECU -2 vs Kentucky

Sugar
Alabama -10 vs Utah
Alabama -10.5 vs Utah

International
Uconn -6 vs Buffalo
Uconn -4 vs Buffalo I know Buffalo is riding a lot of momentum after capturing the MAC title, but even with the short line I'm not sure if I like this game much.

Fiesta
Texas -8.5 vs Ohio St
Texas -10 vs Ohio St Show up for once tOSU, just once.

GMAC
Ball St -1 vs Tulsa
Ball St -2.5 vs Tulsa

BCS Title Game
Florida -3 vs Oklahoma
Same

I was completely off in the Eagle Bank, Humanitarian, Holiday, Sun, Music City and Gator Bowls. On the other hand I was within 2 points on 22 games, so that's not horrible. In all I was 73.5 points different from the the actual line for an average of 2.16 per game.

After digesting the lines for a few moments there is no doubt I will be playing TCU, Clemson, Cincinnati and Ohio St.

The next tier of teams include Colorado St, Arizona, Nevada, Western Michigan, Oregon and Vanderbilt(I really hate this one and it should belong in the with the first four teams).

Rounding out the last tier as of now is UNC, Northwestern, Minnesota, Michigan St and Utah.

I will be looking to back the ACC and Big 10. Yes, I know I have leans against VT, Maryland and BC all from the ACC but VT is a well known commodity, Maryland is laying points to the 3rd team in the WAC(which was horrible this year) and BC is only laying 4 to a crappy Vandy team. Besides those three I'll give the ACC looks in every bowl game.

I will fade the fuck out of the Big 12 along with the SEC.

NBA Plays

I So Much Hate the NBA, my confidence is at an all-time low. For a brief moment when I was heaped over on my bathroom floor Sunday morning I thought I would take a break from the NBA. Then I see these ridiculous lines for tonight and I get sucked back in, fuck me.

OKC +1 +102 (.5)
Memphis +7.5 -102 (.5)
LAC +4 EV (.75)

Bowl Game Line Guesses

Several have already given their best guess. I thought I would post my guesses for the bowl game lines that I did last night.

Eagle Bank
Wake -8.5 vs Navy

New Mexico
Fresno -3.5 vs Colorado St

St. Petersburg
USF -12 vs Memphis

Las Vegas
Arizona -3 vs BYU

New Orleans
Troy -3.5 vs Southern Miss

Poinsettia
TCU -2 vs Boise St

Hawaii
Notre Dame -2 vs Hawaii

Motor City
Central Michigan -8.5 vs Florida Atlantic

Meineke
West Virginia -1 vs North Carolina

Champs
Florida St -5 vs Wisconsin

Emerald
Cal -3.5 vs Miami

Independence
Louisiana Tech PK vs Northern Illinois

Papajohns
Rutgers -3.5 vs NC St

Alamo
Missouri -11 vs Northwestern

Humanitarian
Maryland -5 vs Nevada

Texas
Rice -4 vs Western Michigan

Holiday
Oregon -1 vs Oklahoma St

Armed Forces
Houston -5 vs Air Force

Sun
Pittsburgh -2.5 vs Oregon St

Music City
Boston College -10 vs Vanderbilt

Insight
Kansas -9.5 vs Minnesota

Chick-fil-A
GT -4 vs LSU

Outback
Iowa -5.5 vs South Carolina

Capital One
Georgia -9 vs Michigan St

Gator
Nebraska -3 vs Clemson

Rose
USC -9 vs Penn St

Orange
VT -1 vs Cincinnati

Cotton
Texas Tech -7.5 vs Mississippi

Liberty
ECU -3 vs Kentucky

Sugar
Alabama -10 vs Utah

International
Uconn -6 vs Buffalo

Fiesta
Texas -8.5 vs Ohio St

GMAC
Ball St -1 vs Tulsa

BCS Title Game
Florida -3 vs Oklahoma

College Hoops Special

Cal State Northridge +21 +108 (.25)

NFL Late Losers

SF +4.5 +105 (1)
Buffalo -1 -110 (1)
Seattle +7 -110 (1.5)

NFL Losers

Bengals +14 -110 (1)
Jaguars +6.5 +104 (1)
Texans +6.5 +112 (1)
Browns +13.5 +103 (1)
Lions +10 +115 (1)

I put this card together between vomiting and dry heaving, good times.

Championship Week Part III

Arkansas St +12.5 +105 (1)
Missouri +16.5 -102 (1)
Hawaii +7.5 +102 (1)

NBA
Charlotte +8 -105 (.5)
Phoenix -7 -104 (.5)
Sacramento +4.5 -102 (.5)

Good luck to all. Now I'm going to make sure I don't remember the night. If I'm lucky enough I'll oversleep the early NFL games.

Championship Week Part II

Fla/Ala U54.5 -107 (.75)

College Hoops Action

Michigan +9.5 +104 (.25)
tOSU +4.5 +106 (.5)

I'm glad I knew Harangody will be back for ND prior to placing my bet.

Probably won't matter anyway

Championship Week Part I

Army +10.5 -105 (1)
Uconn -3 +107 (1)

I took a look at the ECU ML, but in the end decided to pass. I'll be back with many more losers throughout the day.

Friday Night Plays

NCAAF
Buffalo +15 EV (1)
Buff/Ball U62 +115 (.5)

NBA
Wizards +12 -101 (.5)
Hawks -10.5 EV (.5)

CFB Leans Week 15

Ball St -15.5 Buffalo
I'm 100% assured I'll be rooting for Turner Gill and the boys.

Uconn -2.5 Pitt
Uconn lost their last game which was nationally televised game while Pitt beat WV in their last game which was nationally televised. Plus, Pitt is a public dog.

Navy -11 Army
Doesn't Navy smoke Army every year?

Troy -11 Arkansas St
If Arkansas St can only survive North Texas by 5 points, what will Troy do to them? Remember, Troy almost beat LSU and we all know how good LSU is.

FIU -7.5 WKU
Merely entertaining the thought. If the line would have stayed at 7 or dropped to 6.5 then there might have been a play.

Oklahoma -17 Missouri
Gross. Sooners will be up 21-0 after the first and cruise from there.

Hawaii +7.5 Cincinnati
There should not be any explanation needed.

Vegas Is Giving Out Free Money at Alumni Arena Tonight!

Yes, I had to look that up and no I do not like money.

NCAAF
'Ville/Rutgers U53 +106 (.5)

NCAAB
Buffalo +15.5 -110 (.75)
Elon +4.5 +110 (.25)
UCLA/Tex U129 -110 (.25)

Passing Trojans and Golden Showers. I gave scant thought to the Spurs tonight, but I hate those fuckers so much.

Good luck.

Tonight's Donations

NBA
76ers +8.5 +109 (.75)
Lakers/76ers U200 +112 (.5)
These are surefire losers, no way I'll even split this one.

Celtics -14 +101 (.5)
Not the most "contrarian" play, but those initial wagerline numbers were made prior to the Pacers knocking off the Lakers. Take into account Indiana beating Boston earlier in the year and the line movement and this is makes it a play for me.

Rockets -11.5 +107 (.5)
Clips dominated Dallas for 3+ quarters and Houston is w/o T-Mac

NCAAB
Northwestern -1.5 -111 (.25)

Almost done updating the record, I had to stop for a second because it was sickening to actually see the results. Fuck the NFL and NBA.

2H Play

Lakers/Pacers U106 -105 (.25)

Too Bad These Donations Aren't Tax Deductible

NBA
Pacers +8.5 +110 (.5)
Wizards +6.5 +107 (.5)
76ers +2 -110 (.5)
Spurs -5 -110 (.5)
Kings +2 -110 (.5)

NCAAB
Miami of Florida -8.5 +109 (.25)
Gene Keady's combover -2 -105 (.75)

Passing the Quakers

I'll try to have my record updated by tonight, it's going to be gruesome.

"It Was Fun While It Lasted, But Now We Should Be Going"

That kinda sucks

Indiana St -3 -108 (.25)
Sacramento St -2.5 -108 (.25)
Kent St +13 +101 (.25)

Passing everything else. Good Luck.

76 Classic

UTEP +8 -110 (.25)

Looking at more garbage later

NBA Losers

I don't even mean that sarcastically any more, I just can't stop betting the NBA because in my twisted head that's when everything will turn around. At least that's what I tell myself.

Denver -4 +106 (.5)
Tor/LAL U207 +106 (.5)

Hopes Aren't That High

Maybe I can break even today in the NFL, that'd be great

49ers +7 -110 (1)
Redskins +3.5 +108 (1)
Bengals +7 EV (1)
Browns +4.5 -101 (1.5)
Chargers -5.5 -105 (1)

Generic Comment

T. Boone Pickens +9.5 +116 (1)
ND/USC U50.5 -104 (.5)

1.5+ Unit Loss Coming Up

Minnesota +5.5 -108 (.5)
Sacramento +4.5 EV (.5)
Milwaukee +7 +101 (.5)

I Hate The NBA

Baylor +22 -102 (1)
Tulane +14 -103 (1)
SMU +15.5 -110 (1)
Marshall +15.5 +103 (1)
Florida St +17 -110 (1)

Friday Night Donations

NBA
Philadelphia +8.5 +103 (.75)
OKC ML +124 (.5)
Portland -5 +105 (.5)
Dal/LAL U205 +107 (.75)

NCAAB
C of C +1 -106 (.25)

NCAAF
Fresno/Boise U57 -110 (.75)

The Beat Goes On

EMU +11 -110 (1.5)
Kent St +9 +105 (1.5)
Arkansas +5 +108 (1)

Might be back with a Fresno/Boise under play

The Eagles are favored!?

This was the reaction of a couple of my cousins who consider themselves avid sportsfans, at the end of the night they'll probably be right.

Eagles -3 -110 (1.5)
Arz/Phi U48.5 EV (.5)

One Step Forward, Three Steps Back

NFL
Winless +11 -106 (1)
Seattle +13 -110 (1)
Sea/Dal U46.5 -106 (.5)

NBA
Washington +3 +102 (.75)

NCAAB
CSF +11.5 +123 (.25)
Wichita St +16.5 -105 (.25)

I'll have a play for tonight's NFL game as well. Good luck to everyone.

At Least I'll Be At The Pawnee

That's really my only consolation for tonight.

NBA
Capt Jack +12 +103 (.5)
Philly -5 EV (.5)
Minny +4 -106 (1)
Chi/SA O190.5 +106 (.5)
LA Shitshow +4 -104 (1)

NCAAB
UAB +5.5 -110 (.25)

Passing Elon & WKU

Early College Hoops

Oregon +11.5 -110 (.5)

A Profit Woulde Be Nice

NCAAF
WMU/Ball St U55 +107 (.75)

NBA
Knicks +8.5 +104 (.5)
Thunder +10 -101 (.75)

NCAAB
Nebraska -9 -110 (.25)
Ark LR +3 -104 (.25)
St Bonnies +6 +105 (.25)
Washington +6 -106 (.25)

MNF 2H Play

U27.5 +105 (.25)

Goodnight, Travel Well

NFL
NO -1 +101 (.5)
NO -2.5 +118 (.5)
GB/NO U51 +107 (.5)

NBA
Charlotte +3 +102 (.5)
Miami +3.5 +103 (.5)
Memphis +3 +101 (.75)
LAC +5.5 -102 (.75)

NCAAB
Wisconsin +5 -106 (.25)
Washington +5.5 -103 (.5)

Losing Touch

At least I picked up Day & Age, there's one good thing that's happened in the last 48 hours.

St. Joes +8.5 -103 (.25)

This will not be another one.

This Play Won't Hit Because It's Not Square

Whale's Vagina -3 -102 (1)

passing Timberwolves

Sellthehousesellthecarsellthekidsfindsomeoneelseforgetiti'mnevercomingbackforgetit

Not really, but who knows after today's slate.

Houston +2.5 +114 (1)
Miami ML +117 (1.5)
Tennessee -5.5 +102 (1.5)
Seattle +3.5 -110 (1)
Arizona +3 EV (1)

Ending The Night On A Painful Note

NCAAF
Oklahoma -7 +101 (1)
Arizona -2.5 -110 (1)
UL-Lafayette +10 +115 (1)

NBA
Cleveland -12 +102 (.5)
LAC +3.5 -107 (.5)
Memphis -3 +104 (.5)

Hungover > Lucid

Wake +1 -101 (1)
Penn St -16 -103 (1)
Illinois -2.5 -110 (1)
Nevada +6 +112 (1.5)

I'm No Good Hungover

I missed out on Army, Louisville, WV/Louis and tOSU/Michigan Unders.

Only one loser for the early games
Tennessee +3 +105 (1)

Hopefully I Can Break Even

NBA
Minnesota +6 -105 (.75)
Washington +6.5 -103 (.75)
Toronto -8.5 -101 (.5)
Indiana +2 EV (.5)
OKC +10 -105 (.5)

NCAAF
BG -4 -107 (1)

NCAAB
Middle Tennessee +10 +105 (.5)
LaSalle +16.5 -110 (.25)
So. Illinois +8 -104 (.25)

NFL Week 12 Leans

I'll have quite a few plays this week, which considering how the NFL has gone lately is not good for my health. I only hope that I'll be able to keep myself composed at the bar.

Cle -3 Hou
Slight lean towards Houston, but I doubt it's a play this weekend with so many other appealing matchups.

KC +3 Buf
Pass

Ten -5.5 NYJ
ESPN thinks this is the week the Jets spring the upset, most of the public is thinking that as well.

Mia PK NE
Definite play on the Dolphins, probably large too.

Dal -10 SF
I would have an extremely tough time backing Dallas in this game, I don't think I can bring myself to do so.

Det +7.5 TB
Does everyone just figure the Lions are going to win a game and this is the week?

Bal -1 Phi
Pass

STL +7.5 Chi
Another slight lean towards a TD+ road fav.

Jax -2.5 Min
Whoever knows what's going to happen in this game knows much more than I do.

Den -9 Oak
I'm glad I won't have to follow this game at all.

Atl -1 Car
Last time I had this many anti-pub favs I got rolled up.

Sea +3 Was
That's more like it.

Arz +3 NYG
Giants will continue their dominance

SD -2.5 Ind
Peyton Manning is back!

NO -2.5 GB
It won't feel right rooting for the Saints

CFB Leans Week 13

Not feeling like much of an intro. Home team is listed first and leans are in bold.

Rutgers -19 Army
Not sure if Army will make the cut.

Louisville +7 West Virginia
This is another one of my weaker leans as it stands now.

Vandy -3 Tennessee
Tennessee really shouldn't show up for their game on Saturday. If you can't beat Wyoming you don't walk into Vanderbilt Stadium and lose by less than a FG. If you don't believe here are a few articulate views.

Wyoming +2 Colorado St
Line dropped while most of the consensus sites have Colorado St getting hammered.

Arkansas St -4 Florida Atlantic
How can the mighty FAU Owls be giving points?

Northwestern +3 Illinois
Here's to Illinois not shooting themselves in the fight multiple times.

Wake -2 BC
I love the ACC as a conference, hopefully it continues this weekend.

Rice -9.5 Marshall
Trying to fade Rice each week hasn't worked out so well this year.

Penn St -15.5 Michigan St
Formula to winning against Penn St is a power running game, Michigan St has this so it should be a close game.

Nevada +7 Boise St
One of my favorite games of the week.

Arizona -2.5 Oregon St
Oregon St is going to the Rose Bowl

Troy -10 UL-Lafayette
If Troy led LSU 31-3, how won't they easily dispatch of the Rajun' Cajuns?

Maryland +1 FSU
See Wake-BC

Oklahoma -7 Texas Tech
How the #2 team in the country is a TD dog is beyond me

Early Hoops Play

Larry Eustachy +6.5 -102 (.25)

Tonight's Action

Overslsept only by a couple of hours, oh well

NCAAF
GT -3 +102 (1.5)

NFL
Cin/Pit U34.5 -108 (.75)

NBA
Boston -6.5 +102 (.5)
Lakers/Suns U206 +107 (.5)

San Juan Seemed Like An OK Place

Putting this one in before I take a much needed nap

Mocs +23 -102 (.75)

Slowly, But Surely

NCAAF
Ball St/CMU U56 +110 (.75)

NBA
Minnesota +3 +111 (.75)
San Antonio -1 -102 (.5)

Tuesday Night Plays

NCAAF
Kent St +3 -110 (1)

NBA
Indiana -3 -108 (.75)
Washington -2 -110 (.75)

NCAAB
Youngstown St +20.5 -102 (.25)
Tulane +21.5 +104 (.25)
LaSalle +3 -110 (.25)

Passed the Nets and UAB, still contemplating SDSU later this evening

Clippers = Bums

Which is all the more reason they will get plenty of looks throughout the season. Fuck.

I want a loser to wake up to, so here it is
St. Mary's -21.5 +105 (.25)

Monday Hoops

NBA
OKC +8.5 +104 (.5)
This is getting old

LAC -2.5 -105 (.75)

NCAAB
North Texas +12.5 +104 (.25)
OK St is out for blood after last year. They made a pact this summer to beat North Texas by at least 15 points

Loyola-Chicago +7 -104 (.25)

Possibly St. Mary's much later in the evening

"Ghosts Of The Past That Haunt Me. I Recognize Where I Was Wrong."

While the Dillinger Four lyric that encaputres the title of this post is in no way applicable to betting, it rings true for myself in regard to this past week.

The first two weeks on the NBA season I had 32 plays. This past week I had 26 for -4.868 units. The plan when the season started was to not play so many games right off the bat. Into the third week of a 7+ month season I was careless with my plays. Games that I had passed the first two weeks hit, so I thought I should play those borderline games in week three. It was a bad decision on my part and hopefully a lesson learned.

There might be a few college basketball plays up later this afternooon

Nice Ending

Phoenix -2 -105 (.75)
Sacramento -2 -108 (.75)
Minnesota +9.5 -103 (.5)

I Hate This Card

Seahawks +3 -110 (1)
Chargers +5 -105 (1)

These Games Will Give Me A Reason To Drink

NCAAF
Colorado +18 -110 (1)
SMU +13 EV (1)
Washington +7 -110 (1)

NBA
Cleveland -10.5 EV (.75)
Minnesota +1.5 +104 (.75)

College Football Action

This is it until the night games

Iowa -17.5 +103 (1)
Auburn +9.5 -101 (1)
Syracuse +10 -110 (1)
Utah St +14 -107 (1)
Kansas +14 -110 (1)
Florida -21 -104 (1)
Illinois +9.5 -110 (1)

This Could Get Ugly

What's this could talk? It WILL get ugly. How on earth I ended up with this many NBA plays is beyond me and I'm sure I will suffer the consequences. If anyone wants a quick buck simply fade these plays, it's that easy.

NBA
New Jersey +3.5 -104 (1)
Memphis -4.5 EV (.75)
OKC +8.5 -102 (.5)
New Orleans -7 +101 (.5)
Dallas -1.5 +101 (.5)
Utah/Cha U179 -102 (.5)
Hou/SA U173 -101 (.5)

NCAAB
Western Carolina +26.5 -101 (.25)

NFL Leans

I've gotten torn apart the last two weeks in the NFL, let's see if I can go for three. Home team is first, leans are in bold.

No thanks
Atl/Den, Mia/Oak, Ind/Hou, GB/Chi, Car/Det, TB/Min, SF/Stl, Dal/Was, Buf/Cle

NYG -7 BAL
As it stands now the Giants are getting enough action to warrant a play on Flacco & Co.

CIN +9 PHI
Even someone as square as Bill Simmons (whose material I enjoy) knows that the Eagles blow out the shitty teams and lay an egg against the good ones. Why should this week be any different?

SEA +3 ARZ
Something about football in the Pacific Northwest is horribly wrong. This is by far the ugliest game on the board. I'll be expecting a Cards blowout win.

JAX +3 TEN
While I enjoy Chris Johnson racking up fantasy points I wouldn't mind another bad game. I just don't think the Jags' D can do the job. That, of course, won't stop me from backing Jacksonville.

KC +5 NO
Fading New Orleans has been far too easy this year, but here I am doing it again this week.

PIT -5.5 SD
Not thrilled at the idea of playing the Chargers, but I'll see how things develop.

CFB Leans Week 12

I'm a little wary heading into college foots this week. I've been doing too good* lately, the other shoe has to drop. Home team is listed first and my lean is in bold. Onto my attempts to justify plays.

Iowa -17.5 Purdue
Not sure if I'll play this, as the line has shifted a full three points in favor of the Hawkeyes and I might have missed my chance. I find it interesting how Vegas didn't set a line to attract Iowa action coming off their biggest win in years, but instead wants you to take the Boilermakers and their All-American kicker. Even after setting that line it moves another three points, which will only attract more Purdue action.**

Clemson -10.5 Duke
Here's to someone knowing why Clemson is a double-digit fav.

Illinois +9.5 Ohio St
Ohio St is coming off a waxing of NW*** while Illinois lost to Western Michigan. Sometimes the play is just that sickening.

Kansas +13.5 Texas
I find it comforting that as hard as Texas is getting pounded the line has only gone up .5 point and hasn't yet reached 14.

Auburn +10 Georgia
Auburn has 2 FBS wins in the past 2 months. Those came over Mississippi St 3-2 and Tennessee 14-12. Add in a 1-8 ATS for Auburn who only covered in the first week of the season and it's rather gross. How doesn't Georgia's high-powered offense cover this. Auburn has only averaged 10 ppg in conference. That means all Georgia has to do is get to 21, right?

LT -14 Utah St
It's amazing how bettors won't touch a team one week (see SJSU -8 against LT) and are all over them the next week.

Kant St +6 Nebraska
Trying to avoid this game as much as possible. Will Grimace be smart enough to attack Nebraska's thin linebacking corps? Maybe, but even when Nebraska sucked last year they beat K-St by 42. Surely an improved Nebraska team can win by 7. As a student and a fan, I'm a little worried about this game.

Florida -22.5 South Carolina
This line might be jacked up a little, it doesn't feel right to back a team that people are calling the best in the country. I'm sure South Carolina and their "#3 ranked defense" (thank you ESPN for bringing this to everyone's attention) should be able to slow down Florida a little. But Florida actually has the better defense and who is the best team South Carolina played on the road this year(Mississippi? Kentucky?). Not exactly hostile environments.

Baylor -8 Texas A&M
When was the last time Baylor was more than a TD fav? The betting public seems to be as perplexed as I am about this.

Oregon -6 Arizona
Line was steamed 2.5 points in favor of the Ducks. Someone must like one of these overrated teams better than the other.

Syracuse +10 Uconn
Not much here just a pub fade play

Colorado +18 Oklahoma St
I'm sick at the thought of playing this game. Maybe Colorado won't play like complete garbage for once.

UTEP -13 SMU
After a few mid-season covers Meth was becoming a little too popular for my tastes. After a couple of sterling performances where they let bettors down they're due for another shot. There is nothing better than a horrible team covering for a couple weeks, drawing in your average bettor only to disappoint. Which in turn brings them back down for a play. UTEP is also in the same boat as LT stated above.

Washington +7 UCLA
I loathe Washington more than any other college team

Also considering UAB, SDSU, BC and any others I feel like.

*In college football, certainly not anything else
** I might have just convinced myself to back Iowa
*** We know the books don't hold the Wildcats in high regard

Let's See What We Got Here

Today in class my professor used the initials EMU to discuss the European Monetary Union. All I could think about was Eastern Michigan University and how they're 2-1 this year for me.

If that doesn't tell you all there is to know about where my priorities are at I don't know what will. Tonight's losers are as follows.

NCAAF
Miami-FL -4.5 +104 (1)

NBA
Golden State +4.5 +104 (.75)

NCAAB
Miami-OH +15 +101 (.5)
M-OH/UCLA U124 -110 (.25)

Slowly Going Broke

Boston -10.5 -102 (1)
Washington +4.5 -104 (1)
Philly +6 -109 (.5)
OKC +7 +104 (.5)
Hornets -1.5 -103 (.5)
LAL/NO U196 +106 (.5)

Passing Portland, Northern Illinois

I Hate Pro Totals

That won't stop me from betting on three of them tonight

NCAAF
RAUDABAGH! +19 -105 (1)

NBA
Charlotte +3 -104 (1)
Dallas +5.5 +106 (.5)
LAL/Dal U196.5 (.5)
NY/SA O197 (.5)
Mins/GS U206 (.5)

Monday Night 3-Sport Losers

Did you know Presbyterian moved into the Big South this year?

NFL
SF +9.5 +103 (1)
SF/Arz U47.5 -106 (.75)

NBA
Mem/Phx U196.5 +105 (.5)

NCAAB
Presbyterian +36.5 +110 (.25)

EDIT
7:53 PM
Toronto +8 2H EV (.25)

All Of Today's Action

NFL
Chicago ML +128 (.5)
Atlanta PK -110 (1)
Minnesota -2.5 -107 (1)
Houston -1 -105 (1)
Oakland +9 +101 (1.5)
San Diego -15.5 +107 (1.5)
Philadelphia -3 -103 (1.5)

NBA
OKC +4.5 EV (.75)
LAC +4 -101 (.75)
Memphis +8.5 -106 (.75)

I Will Be Paid Back In Full For the Thunder Cover

Starting tonight

Nawlins -9.5 -110 (.75)
Chicago +1.5 +109 (.75)
Milwaukee +5.5 +102 (.75)

Rest of Today's Football Losers

LSU +3 +108 (1)
Iowa +8 -110 (1.5)
Washington +15 -110 (1)
Cincy +7.5 -110 (1)
Western Kentucky +18 -110 (1)
La Tech +7 +105 (1)

Early College Action

Purdue +10 -110 (1)
Kentucky +13.5 -106 (1)
Utah St +35 EV (1)
Nebraska -1 -110 (1.5)
Baylor +28 -110 (1)

Cue The Wolf Howling...

Nevada -1 -110 (2)

I might wind up in a bodybag

NBA Action

Charlotte +7.5 -101 (.75)
New Jersey +7.5 -103 (.5)
Chicago +4.5 -106 (.75)
OKC +11 +104 (.75)

NFL Leans

This is the week of anti-pub favs

jax -6.5 DET
Nothing here besides one underachieving team and one horrible team.

ten -3 CHI
Lean Chicago, but I'm still completely undecided on this play

NE -4 buf
Pass

ATL -1 nawlins
Slight lean to the Falcons as a possible anti-pub fav

NYJ -9 stl
Line appears to be high, Jets might be a play.

MIA -9 sea
Pass

MIN -2.5 gb
Reference Atlanta/N.O.

bal -1 HOU
Line has been hammered now so that Flacco is favored. How odd is that? Texas sized lean to the Texans in this one.

car -9 OAK
So many things are disgusting about this game. I might as well give this money to a charity so I could feel good about myself.

SD -15 kc
Chargers, no doubt about it.

PHI -3 nyg
Eagles, no doubt about it.

ARZ -9.5 sf
Lean San Fran, Cardinals should win in a rout.

CFB Leans Week 11

INDIANA +9.5 wisconsin
Battle of the Big 11 titans, line drop is a good sign in this one.

NW +11 tosu
This has Ohio St blow out written all over it.

purdue +9.5 SPARTY
Vegas must think Sparty is trash.

UNC -4 gt
Tar Heels are borderline, I have doubts they'll be playable.

KENTUCKY +12 uga
Georgia has too much pride to beat Kentucky by anything less than two TDs.

utah st +35 BOISE
I really do hate Boise St.

NEB -1.5 kansas
Hopefully Nebraska doesn't fall down 35-0 after the first this week.

IOWA +7.5 penn st
I have no choice.

LSU +3 alabama
I am looking for any reason not to play this.

wku +16.5 TROY
Western Kentucky gave North Texas their first win of the year, that's all anyone needs to know about the Hilltoppers.

fired grimace +27.5 MIZZOU
63-24 Missouri seems about right.

WASHINGTON +14.5 arizona st
Gross

cincy +6.5 WV
Maybe Cincinnati can hand West Virginia the game like Uconn did last week.

ok st +3.5 TT
I'm looking for a letdown coming off last week's GOY

lt +7 SJSU
This should be a thrilling game

I Hate Los Angeles Basketball

Philly +5 -103 (.5)
Portalnd +5 +101 (.5)

Still mulling my options CFB options. If I have any borderline play I feel like forcing I'll make sure it's posted.

Wednesday Night Hoops

Indiana +3.5 -104 (1)
OKC +9 EV (1)
Minny +5 -105 (1)
LAL/LAC U193 +106 (.5)

I Don't Feel Too Good About Tonight

Miami-OH +9 -105 (1)

NBA
Nets +7 -108 (1)
Mavs +4 +102 (1)

Attempting To Profit Off The Election

GOP +1250 risking .276
Dems -550 risking 3.45

Props to VW for bringing this to my attention

Monday Night Pain

Looking to further a couple of important streaks: 0-5 in NFL, 0-7 NFL totals, 0-3 in NBA
I sincerely apologize to anyone who is on these same plays tonight

Redskins -3 +116 (1)
Pit/Was U37 +104 (.75)

NBA
76ers -12 +102 (1)
Grizzlies +2 EV (.5)
Clippers +6.5 +105 (1)

Passing GS/Mem Under

NFL Plays

St Louis +3 +103 (1)
Mia/Den O49 -110 (1)
Oakland +3 -110 (1)
Seattle +6.5 +103 (1)

Saturday Night Two-Sport Losers

UNLV +16.5 -104 (1)
UTEP +2.5 +109 (1)
New Mexico +7 EV (1)
Tulane +28.5 +114 (1)

NBA:
Minnesota +5.5 +110 (1)
Milwaukee -1 -106 (.5)
Portland +9 -108 (.5)

Too Much Going On

Uconn +4 -110 (1)
Iowa St +31 -110 (1)
Baylor +21 +101 (1)
Colorado +4 +101 (1)
Wisconsin +5.5 -103 (1)
Pitt +6 -110 (1)
LT +5 -110 (1)
Tennessee +7 -110 (1)
Cal -2.5 -103 (1)
Temple +7 +101 (1)
NMSU +21.5 -109 (1)
Arky St +25 -110 (1)

NBA
Indiana +6 -104 (1)

You Wanna See Something Scary?

Look at these picks

Philly -8 +102 (1)
NY/PHI O214.5 -102 (.5)
LAC +2 EV (.5)
Portland ML +109 (.5)
Portalnd +1.5 -103 (.5)

Only pass were the Grizz

NFL Leans

MIN -4.5 Hou
I'll pass thank you.

Jax -7.5 CIN
I was leaning Bungles early in the week, but there just aren't enough Jags backers after last week's loss to Cleveland.

Tb -9 KC
Thankfully I can pass this game.

CLE -1.5 Bal
As much as I would like to play the Ravens I do not have the consensus to back me up.

BUF -5.5 Nyj
Line looks high, but its getting more action on Buffalo. Not enough to warrant a play on the Jets though.

Arz -3 STL
Not thrilled at the notion of backing St. Louis, but I could see myself doing so on Sunday.

CHI -12.5 Det
Line is drawing near split-action, no play.

TEN -4.5 Gb
Green Bay is primed, but I don't know if I can justify a play on them.

DEN -3 Mia
If anyone could fill me in as to why Denver is getting backed so hard, it would be appreciated.

Atl -3 OAK
Every week I have my leans and almost every week I lean Al Davis

NYG -9 Dal
This line isn't begging for action on the Cowboys, is it?

Phi -7 SEA
Gross

IND -6 Ne
No thanks

WAS -1.5 Pit
Public dog on MNF = auto play

CFB Leans Week 10

The list is quite extensive and it's not something that I'm completely thrilled about. There's a lot of fat on this card that needs to be trimmed.
Caps indicates home team

UCONN +4 wva
In case you didn't know, West Virginia is back after beating Auburn.

NW +7 Minny
I really liked this one early in the week, but now I'm cooling off on the thought of backing NW.

Wisky +5.5 MSU
Really? The oddsmakers haven't been respecting Sparty.

BAYLOR +21 Mizzou
I hope this isn't the same old Baylor team that everyone else thinks it is.

Colorado +3.5 A&M
Nice spot to back the Buffs coming off their 58-0 drubbing at the hands of Mizzou. Meanwhile A&M has developed quite a following lately, hopefully that ends here.

Pitt +5 ND
Unsure about the Pitt QB situation heading into the game. Either way right now a definite lean to the 'Stache. I mean if you can't stop Mike Teel, who can you stop?

LT +4 Fresno
Fresno has really looked solid in their last three games. Do they continue to slide? I'm leaning that way.

Arkansas St +23.5 BAMA
Excuse me while I vomit.

Iowa St +31 BOONE PICKENS
Iowa St really does blow something fierce.

CAL -3 Oregon
Uh-oh, second lean that is going against the Wheel of Genius.

Temple +7 NAVY
I'm told this is a complete mismatch.

North Texas +17 WKU
17-point dog against a team in its first full year of FBS. In case you didn't know it's quite a program they have down there in Denton.

Fla Intl +7 UL-LAF
I, like Vegas, was unaware how special UL-Lafayette was.

CSU +14.5 byu
I really wouldn't mind seeing BYU come up with the cover. I have other rooting interests.

Tennessee +6 OLD BALL COACH
Tennessee has almost become a weekly auto-play

NMSU +21.5 Boise St
The Aggies are coming off an inspired effort last week in Moscow. This line is disgustingly low.

UL-MON +10 Troy
I think Monroe is worse than people realize, but that wouldn't stop me from taking them against an overhyped Troy squad. Well, as hyped as a Sunbelt team can get.

Tulane +26.5 LSU
Is LSU going to be pissed or demoralized?

UNLV +14 Tcu
It's not like Vegas has to go out of their way to attract action on TCU, but they did anyway.

UTEP +3 Rice
Not my most confident of leans, that's probably a good thing.

NM +7.5 Utah
Another MWC Special!

Arizona St +15.5 BEAVERS
Nice game last week Sun Devils.

UCF +3.5 Ecu
Didn't the oddsmakers watch the game last Sunday night?

Tulsa/Arkansas Over and Washington/USC Under are looking like plays right now.

Thursday Night Action

NCAAF:
Cincinnati +2.5 +102 (1)

NBA:
NO/Phx U198 -102 (.5)

It's FAN-tastic

My plan for the NBA is to tread lightly. It's a long season and there is no reason why I should let a possible slow start keep me discouraged. To start, regular plays on sides will be .5 and 1 unit on large plays. Regular plays on totals will be .25 with .5 on large plays. As one can plainly see on the second night of the NBA I have two large plays, not the brand of discipline I was hoping to begin with.

Golden St +6 +101 (1)
Nawlins is getting hammered* pretty good everywhere. Basketball Prospectus seems to think Golden State will surprise, while Nawlins will experience the plexiglass principle.

Ind/Det O188 EV (.5)
Any under getting over 70% action on wagerline will more often than not be a play.

Passing Atlanta, Phoenix, Mem/Hou over

Good Luck.

* Going to have to keep an eye on makaveli23

Expect Some Great Football Tonight

Marshall +7 +107 (1)
Houston is riding a hot streak while Marshall has lost three straight including their last one to UAB, who doesn't really count as a team from what I've heard.

Buffalo/Ohio O49 +110 (1)
Teams cannot score in cold weather, especially two teams from the MAC. Look for this total to settle at 42

Also looking at the Houston/Marshall total as well. I don't want to just lose two units tonight, I might want to lose three.

No play on baskets tonight, but I will most likely find something for tomorrow night. Maybe fading a certain team that lost in the WCF Semis who is taking on a team that lost their best player and has another young star out for half the year due to a moped accident.

EDIT - Original total bet was cancelled out, so...

Buffalo/Ohio O48 +106 (1)

Pointless NBA Future

Utah Jazz to win the NBA Championship +2050, risking .8475 to win 17.374

This is a horrible play and has no chance of hitting, none.

The NBA Is Upon Us

1 Celtics (144) 9,153 53.5
2 Lakers (103) 9,100 54.5
3 Hornets (16) 8,662 51.5
4 Spurs (4) 7,665 48.5
5 Cavaliers (11) 7,519 47.5
6 Rockets (16) 7,423 53.5
7 Jazz (8) 7,183 51.5
8 Pistons (8) 7,078 50.5
9 Suns (6) 6,111 46.5
10 Magic (4) 5,879 47.5
11 Mavericks (1) 5,618 46.5
12 76ers (2) 5,253 48.5
13 Blazers (7) 5,196 44.5
14 Raptors (2) 4,587 47.5
15 Nuggets (0) 4,326 40.5
16 Heat (2) 3,662 37.5
17 Bulls (2) 3,556 40.5
18 Warriors (0) 3,533 37.5
19 Wizards (0) 3,426 38.5
20 Hawks (2) 3,349 36.5
21 Clippers (0) 3,154 34.5
22 Pacers (0) 2,477 35.5
23 Bucks (0) 2,280 30.5
24 Nets (1) 2,265 27.5
25 Kings (2) 2,180 28.5
26 Bobcats (0) 1,905 36.5
27 Wolves (1) 1,771 30.5
28 Grizzlies (0) 1,610 22.5
29 Knicks (0) 1,534 32.5
30 Thunder (1) 1,077 25.5

This is the Sportsnation rankings from ESPN. So you know well-informed individuals put much thought into their selections. The number in parenthesis is number of first-place votes, the second number is their acculumated points. The third column is the O/U W-L record that Vegas set. Yes it looks like ass, but I have virtually no formatting knowledge.

Cross-referencing Sportsnation with Vegas O/U the public seems to be down on the Knicks, Bobcats(pre-season record) and Raptors. While overvaluing the Cavs(surprise, I know) and Suns.

The Thunder are perceived to be the worst team in the league by far (regardless of the homer who voted them #1).

Public is also down on the Warriors, I'll side with Basketball Prospectus when it comes to Nellie's squad.

Against All Odds has a breakdown of the Atlantic, Central and Southeast divisions

I'm going to tread lightly at the beginning of the year, my ass is still hurting from last year's playoffs.

Another MNF Under Loser

Usually a 3-1 day is cause for celebration, but when that one loss comes in a sport that I've been struggling to find my rhythm* in, I was none too pleased. ML's graphic design skills show what was so maddening about this specific game.

Colts/Titans U40.5 +108 (.5)

I only feel like losing half-unit tonight

* go on a disgusting hot streak

Because I Couldn't Stand A Perfect Day In The NFL

I have to play this loser

UCF +25 -110 (1)

I don't think UCF can hold Tulsa to 24

Week 8 NFL Plays

Miami +1 -101 (1.5)
Arizona +5 +105 (1)
Houston -9 EV (1)

Passes - Eagles, Raiders, Lions

I Hope SDSU Doesn't Give Up 70 This Week

SDSU +9 -105 (1)

Bankroll Busters

Tennessee +7 -110 (2)
Washington +12 -110 (1)
Arizona St +4 -110 (1)

Still looking at throwing some money away on SDSU tonight

Two Afternoon Losers

Rutgers +10 -110 (1)
Michigan +4 -110 (1)

Approaching With Great, Great Trepidation

Indiana +8 EV (1.5)
EMU +25 +109 (1)
Toledo +3.5 +103 (1)
Kansas -2.5 -106 (1) - smart of me to lock this in early in the week
Florida -25 EV (1)
K-St +21 -110 (1)
Baylor +13.5 +105 (1)
Duke +10.5 -110 (1)

Passes - Uconn, Wisconsin, Utah St

Be back with some afternoon losers

WAC Special

SJSU +7 +104 (1.5)

Passed on the under, which will hit

NFL Leans

Let me start off by saying the NFL card sucks this week. If I had any self-control I would only play the Dolphins this week, but I might get sucked into backing the Texans and others. The week is already off to a great start. I lost a borderline MAC total and the two plays I passed last night both hit. This week will be a great one, I can tell already. Onto the leans...

bal -9 OAK
I was pleasantly surprised that the Raiders came through in OT last week. A slight lean to Al Davis.

sd -3 no
Both teams coming off losses, playing in London. I think I can pass.

NYJ -13.5 kc
Tyler Thigpen alert! Lean the Jets, most likely not a play unless the line moves up another point.

buf -1.5 MIA
This is the game that stands out like a sore thumb in this sea of crap.

DAL -1 tb
Never thought I would be leaning Dallas, but that's what happens when you lose three straight along with your QB. Not to mention the other distractions that are going on. ESPN kept running a promo saying how the Cowboys wouldn't win a game until Romo came back. Might be a nice spot to back the 'Boys.

PHI -9 atl
This line looks a little high. Are the Falcons still patting themselves on the back after their last second win over the Bears?

NE -9 stl
The slightest of leans to the Rams only because the Patriots dominated the Broncos on MNF.

CAR -4 arz
This reminds me of the Chicago-Minny game from last week. Maybe Arizona will personally hand the Panthers 14 points.

was -7.5 DET
Slight lean to the Lions, but this game will be interesting for mostly non-gambling reasons.

JAX -7 cle
No thank you

PIT -2.5 nyg
Two overhyped squads = pass

SF -5 sea
I'm not even sure the last time the Niners were this big of a fave, probably a couple of years. I'm sure this will be an exciting well-played game.

HOU -9 cin
Lean the Texans because I am a masochist

TEN -4 ind
Indy was finally exposed against the Packers, but the Titans still are not getting any respect from the oddsmakers. Most likely a pass.

Your CFB Leans For WK9

SJSU +7
The oddsmakers know this is Boise St, right? They've already got a spot locked up in the BCS.

Indiana +8
I'm disgusted with this play, yet I like it. Quite a bit in fact.

Eastern Michigan +25
The fading of Ball St combines to meet the backing of EMU. The line has already moved 1.5 points to Ball St and I'll be surprised if it doesn't creep up a little more.

Toledo +4
Central Michigan has quite the following, no?

Kansas -1.5
I'm a moron who already has Kansas locked in at -2.5

Florida -25.5
This doesn't even remotely feel right.

Kansas St +18.5
How many yards will OU rack up this game, 600...700? I wouldn't be surprised in the least.

Baylor +12.5

Duke +10.5
This line seems a little high to me, that's probably because I still view Vandy as garbage.

Rutgers +9.5
meh

Tennessee +6.5
Auto-play

Cal -17
Look everyone it's the Pac-10 public dog of the week....this week the role is being played by UCLA.

LSU -1.5
I hate both of these teams.

Michigan +3.5
I'm sure this will be enjoyable to watch. Remember everyone, Michigan St is going to bounce back.

Iowa St -3
Battle of the heavyweights in the Big 12.

SDSU +9
People are lining up to fade the Aztecs after last week.

Arizona St +3
The consensus numbers are there, but I'm not sold on this play.

Looking at NM/AF under and West Virginia for tonight, not sure if either will be a play though.

MAC Total of the Week!

Ohio/Temple O43 +104 (1)

If either team scores 20 I'll be surprised

Monday Night Football

Patriots -3 +109 (1)

This play has no chance. I really didn't want to play the Pats, but I don't have that much of a choice. My only comfort is that I won't be able to watch this loser because I get to see AM! rock out. That'll save me some aggravation.

Sunday Plays

Vikings +3.5 -111 (.5)
Vikings ML +168 (.5)
Panthers -3 -101 (1)
Raiders +3 +105 (1)
Packers +1 +101 (1)

Saturday Night

BC -3 +109 (1)

CFB Week 8

ECU -8 +101 (1)
Georgia -14.5 -104 (1)
EMU +4.5 -103 (1)
Tennessee -7.5 +103 (1)
Utah St +22.5 +102 (1)
Washington +16 +103 (1)
SMU +13.5 -105 (1)

All -110
Rutgers -1.5 (1.5)
Maryland +2.5 (1)
Duke +5 (1)
Iowa -3.5 (1)
A&M +21.5 (1)
Baylor +18 (1)
South Carolina +3 (1)

Passes Clemson, ISU, USC, WKU, FIU

WACky Total

It really isn't, I just had nothing better for a title.

Haw/Boise U52 +105 (1)

NFL Leans

ten -8.5 KC
pass

BUF -1 sd
Line movement switches with a majority on San Diego. I'll see how frisky I feel Sunday morning as to whether or not I play Buffalo

pit -9.5 CIN
If I lean anything it would be Pittsburgh, but there's no chance I play this game.

MIA -3 bal
Lean Baltimore, but this will most likely be a pass

dal -7 STL
I'm not getting involved in this game, too many variables in play

CHI -3 min
I don't really want to, but I'll most likely be on the Vikes. This line didn't stand out when I first saw it and it still doesn't, but the Neckbeards are getting hammered. I don't really have a choice.

CAR -3 no
I'll be on the Panthers, no doubt.

NYG -10.5 sf
I can see the Niners covering in this one, but it won't be a play.

HOU -9 det
It'll be nice not to have a vested interest in the Texans this week, they were driving me crazy the last two weeks.

nyj -3 OAK
The hook dropped off early in the week with the Jets getting absolutely pounded. This one is going to be rather ugly and has no chance of a Raiders cover. I, of course, will be on the Raiders.

WAS -7.5 cle
Cleveland is good now, in case you didn't know.

ind -1.5 GB
Packers will be a play, no doubt.

TB -10.5 sea
The Buccaneers gig might be up if they blow out the Seahawks this week. I won't be playing this, but I'm hoping for a gruesome win by Tampa. I don't ask for much.

NE -3 den
Patriots looked horrible last Sunday night. Broncos are getting hammered as a pup. It's Monday Night Football. I'll be on the Pats.

This Night Is Gonna Blow Something Fierce

Florida St -11 +106 (1)
TCU -1 -108 (1.5)

I am really worried that I might start cussing in class while following these games online.

CFB Leans Week 8

Florida St -11
Home Dogs on ESPN are money!!

TCU -1.5
Top 10 team as a dog against an unranked conference foe. Line switching 4 points away from BYU when they are getting hammered. Already put 1.5x on this play, I might tack on an additional .5x for a 2x play (8% of bankroll).

Haw/Boise U52
These teams don't play defense, not a lick

Rutgers +1
What am I thinking going against TheRealUnger? I obviously do not like money.

Maryland +2
This line is just a little low. I'm guessing the bummy Maryland shows up.

Clemson +2.5
Head coach gets fired, so the team will lose. It's a law of nature.

Duke +3
Line has dropped 2.5 points, not sure why. It's not like Duke can beat Miami, right?

Iowa -3.5
Public thinks Wisky is gonna bounce back just fine.

KU/OU U60.5
This bet will be over at 13:39 in the 3rd

Iowa St +8

Tennessee -7.5
Tennessee in no point in this game will be covering

Georgia -14.5
I really will despise Georgia when they win by 14

EMU +3.5

USC -42.5
Hilarious

Washington +14
The Huskies are pathetic, Beavs roll

Arizona +2.5

Western Kentucky +2
They have a football team?

BC -2.5
I know absolutely nothing about BC, they lost Matt Ryan so I'm sure they are a lesser team compared to last year.

NFL Profits Nearly Wiped Out

I would like to thank...

Oakland Raiders
Sage Rosenfels
Andy Reid
Dallas Totals (specifically the unfortunate chain of events that occurred in the Arizona)

Another Losing Total

Nyg/Cle U43.5 -107 (1)

This play doesn't absolutely disgust me, never a good sign.

....

Phillies +150 (.5)

Just When I Thought the NFL Couldn't Fuck Me Any Harder

This afternoon happens. The third fucking week in a row.

San Diego -6 -107 (1)

On The Way to 0-7

When the final seconds run off in the late games that will complete my record

49ers +4.5 +102 (1)
Dal/Arz U52 +108 (1)
Seahawks -1 -105 (1)

NFL Week 6

Raiders +7.5 -110 (1)
Bucs -1.5 -108 (1)
Falcons +2.5 +105 (1)
Texans -3 -106 (1)

Late Night Loser

La Tech +7.5 +106 (1)

S-A-T-U-R-D-A-Y NIGHT.......losers

New Mexico +24 -110 (1)
Florida -6 -110 (1)
So. Miss +11 -1110 (1)
Western Kentucky +17 -110 (1)

Afternoon Disgust

Auburn -17 +102 (1)
ASU/USC U50 -105 (1)
USC -27.5 +102 (1)
Miami-Oh +11 -105 (1)
Colorado St +16.5 +103 (1)

CFB Week 7 - AM Losers

Minnesota +11.5 +103 (1)
Nebraska +21 EV (1)
Wyoming +24 -110 (1)
Sly Croom +3 -110 (1)

Weekly NFL Insights

Another large NFL card that will end in a mix of anger, frustration, agony, and self-doubt. The lines for the games this week are for the most part, disgusting.

NO -7 oak
Leaning Raiders in all their dysfunctional glory. Nawlins didn't get the win against Minny on MNF, but the consensus is that they gave the game away and are still the better team. Plus Nawlins shut down Adrian Peterson, doing the same against Oakland should be no chore. How are the Raiders going to move the ball, with Jamarcus Russell's arm? I don't think so.

IND -4 bal
After Sage Rosenfels worked his magic, Indy isn't viewed in the same light. They are still overvalued while Baltimore is undervalued. Leaning Joe Flacco.

NYJ -7.5 cin
Under was going to be an autoplay until it was announced Palmer was out. Line has dropped to 42.5, I'll weight my options. Not even looking at the side.

TB -1 car
"I'll keep riding the Bucs as long as no one thinks they're any good." - Sham 10-03-08

MIN -13 det
This line is steep, but this is the Lions. Lean Vikes.

chi -3 ATL
The thought of taking Atlanta makes me sick, looks like a play on the Falcons.

HOU -3 mia
Can I take another helping of Sage? Maybe, I really don't fucking want to though.

WAS -13.5 stl
Rams completely blow, but I'm not ready to back them just yet.

DEN -3.5 jax
Lean Broncos because pub is backing Jax as a dog

phi -4.5 SF
This line is gross, that's why I lean Niners.

dal -5 ARZ
Another line that makes one wonder, like Zona quite a bit.

SEA -1.5 gb
Excuse me while I vomit at the notion of backing the Seahawks again.

SD -5 ne
Lean Bolts

nyg -9 CLE
Browns....ugh

CFB Leans Week 7

I did not get O'Hern picked up on MB, he's currently tied for first in the clubhouse. Awesome. Onto the college football leans that will turn into losers.

Minnesota +12.5
Illinois comes to play every week

Wyoming +23
Wyoming couldn't score with a prostitute

Sly Croom +2.5
This line smells horrible because Vandy is LEGIT!

tOSU -18.5
This line seems high and I am not looking forward to laying that much with the Buckeyes

Colorado St +15

Tennessee +12.5
If UGA scores 14 they'll cover easily

UCF +17
UCF is horrible

Miami-OH +11
No. Ill played Tennessee tough on the road, M-OH lost by 18 at home to Temple

Auburn -18.5
some of these public dogs are ridiculous

Stanford +6
Arizona covers against bad teams

New Mexico +23.5

Western Kentucky +16
thank you ESPN for making sure everyone knows Ball St is now ranked for the first time ever. They're also playing a scrub team in its first year of FBS. Ball St is a LOCK!!!!!!!

North Texas +21.5
I can't believe this is even a lean.

Florida -6
ugh

So. Miss +11

La Tech +7.5
Hawaii is good after getting 6 turnovers against Fresno

Because College Football Wasn't Bad Enough

I'm trying my hand(following MoneyLine) on a few golf outrights

Pat Perez 40-1 (.375x)
Steve Marino 60-1 (.25x)

Still trying to get Nick O'Hern picked up on MB

Sunbelt Special

FAU +3.5 +102 (1)

For some reason I've been hitting my weekday games, this will surely start to even out.

Monday Night Football

Vikings +3 +105 (1)

Surely, this game will be a fitting end to the week.

EDIT - Added another .5

Total bet Vikings +3 +101 (1.5)

I wanted to lose another .5

Houston Texans

I don't know what I should type right now. I am at a complete loss for words.

Hou 27-10 with less than 5 minutes to go
Ind 31-27 Final

Indy scored 3 TDs in 130 seconds

Unreal

I think I'll be in a comatose state the rest of the day

My last two large NFL plays have been SD/Oak and now the Hou/Ind game. So fucking ridiculous, I'm sick.

Sage Rosenfels You Piece of Shit

Cardinals -1 -110 (1)
49ers +3.5 -115 (1)
Cin/Dal U45 +106 (1)
Bucs +3.5 +105 (.5)

I Have A Sense of Impending Doom

Sage Rosenfels +3.5 +110 (1.5)
Lions +3.5 -110 (1)
Seahawks +8 -110 (1)
Dolphins +6.5 -110 (1)

There will surely be several more losers for the afternoon games

Rest of Saturday's Losers

Putting this in before I go tailgating for the NU-Mizzou bloodbath

Virginia +13.5 -110 (1)
Michigan -2.5 +107 (1)
Nebraska +10.5 -110 (1.5)
Nebraska ML +335 (.5)
Cal -8.5 -110 (1)
Kentucky +14.5 +106 (1)
No. Illinois +16 +108 (1)
Wisconsin +1 +105 (1)
K-St +7.5 -110 (1)
Colorado +14 -110 (1)
Eastern Michigan +21 -110 (1)

Early Saturday Plays

Purdue +13 -102 (1)
Iowa St +13.5 -110 (1)
Baylor +28 -110 (1)

The extra points I have on ISU and Baylor won't matter when they both get blown out.

I Don't Know How, But I'm Hoping It Will...

Utah St +28.5 +101 (1)

I passed on getting the Aggies at +30 -110 because my odds above are slightly better, I'll sure be regretting that when Utah St loses by 29.

NFL Leans

ind -3 HOU
Surely the Colts will blowout the lowly Texans following their bye week, right?

ten -3 BAL
Lean Ravens in this one, no doubt. Not sure if it will be a play yet.

sd -6.5 MIA
I would be all over the Dolphins this week, but coming of their last performance I'm not so sure.

CAR -9.5 kc
Pass

PHI -5.5 was
Slight chance I play the Eagles, most likely a pass.

chi -3.5 DET
Kyle Orton on the road....as a favorite?......over a FG?.....with the pub all over Neckbeard?.....against a pathetic Lions squad.

GB -? atl
I don't care

NYG -7 sea
Liking the Squaks in this situation

DEN -3 tb
I'll keep riding the Bucs as long as no one thinks they're any good.

ne -3 SF
Remember last week, when I wrote this? Well, let's say it's a slam dunk this week.

ARZ -1 buf
Bills are undefeated. Cardinals gave up 56 last week to NYJ and have lost two straight by multiple scores. Bills are are getting pounded as a dog. I think the play is rather obvious.

DAL -17 cin
I don't want to, but I lean Dallas

JAX -4 pit
Couldn't care less

NO -3 min
Unfortunately the Vikings will most likely be a play

CFB Leans Week 6

This is looking like a big week in both college and pro, I'm sure I'll have to drown the pain.

Utah -11
I'm still on the fence with this play, right now it's a weak lean. I might have to play it on principal. Oregon St dominated USC in the trenches last week, everyone saw it. I've heard that if Oregon St shows up with their B game after last week they should cover against Utah, oh really?

Marshall +3.5

Utah St +29.5
This won't look too great when BYU wins 49-0

Kunt St Golden Showers +3.5
Way to get your XP blocked last week fuckers.

Purdue +13
If Purdue can't stop CMU and ND, how on earth will they contain Penn St? I don't know, I'm hoping it has something to do with going on the road for the first time (playing at Syracuse does not count as an official road game because they are not a real team).

Iowa St +13
Not totally disgusted by this play, I know how that usually turns out.

Baylor +27
Oklahoma is unstoppable, they proved as much last week.

Cal -9
Arizona St is getting some love as a pup

We Are K State +7.5
This will be a play, looking to further my disgust by looking at the under. This is ridiculous I know, especially when Texas Tech and their video game offense is going against the future #1 pick in the NFL Draft.

EMU +21
ugh

Air Force -6
This might be a reach, I'll see how the week progresses

Virginia +13.5
Wahoos blow

It's Division I Football, It's the Big 12 +13.5
Another lean that doesn't automatically induce vomiting

Kentucky +16.5
Saban will have his boys ready, this young team won't have a letdown.

Michigan -2.5

Nebraska +11
VT moved the ball over Nebraska, Missouri will have no problem at all.

Might As Well

My plan was to start playing bases next year. I had a few plays in mind when it came to the postseason, but I didn't think I would be taking individual games. Well that has changed, I'm sure I'll be regretting this decision in the coming weeks

Dodgers +144
White Sox +173

Risking .25x for both plays

WAC < Everyone Else

WhACk off U56.5 -101 (1)

Boise St shredded Oregon, La Tech's defense should pose no problem.

passing LT, I'm sure they will cover now.

Divisional Play

Risking .5x
Brew Crew +167
Dodgers +186
Red Sox +128

The first two are follows from ML and VW, putting their heads together they set lines for each game in the Divisional Series and from there determined what the series price should be. The Brewers and Dodgers both have value in their eyes.

The Red Sox play is an original loser by me. I based the selection off the difference in third order record between the teams. The Red Sox were a full 18 games better than were the Angels, that's good enough for me even if I do have to back Red Sox Nation.

I have a sinking feeling that I'm really going to despise the Angles when the playoffs are finished.

Worst Weekend Ever

Not for what I lost, but for what could have won. I am sick. Here's a loser

Bears +3 +105 (1)

I'm sure Neckbeard will find a way to fuck this up, no doubt in my mind.

NFL Plays

Yesterday was the most disappointing week I've had in college football. I came out with a minimal profit, while most of the games that I was considering ended up winning. Here are some surefire losers for today's NFL slate

Chiefs +11 -110 (1.5)
Vikings +3 +105 (1)
Bucs PK -110 (1)
Raiders +8.5 -110 (1.5)
Was/Dal U46 +101 (1)

Looking hard at Chicago tonight

Saturday Night

UGA -6.5 EV (1)
Idaho +11 +108 (1)

Still loooking at Nevada

CFB Week 5

Indiana +9 -110 (1)
Houston +11 -110 (1)
Tennessee +6.5 +101 (1.5)
Michigan +6 -110 (1)
Wyoming +3 -101 (1)
TCU +18.5 +101 (1)
Kent St +21 +107 (1)
FSU -6 +105 (1)

I'll have my picks on the night games up later in the day

NFL Leans

Den -10 KC
I wonder how many units the Chiefs will cost me this year, 5...10? One thing I am thankful for is that Tyler Thigpen won't be starting this week.

CIN -3.5 Cle
Clusterf*ck = Pass

JAX -7 Hou
I'm waiting for a time to back Houston, this might be the week.

NYJ -1.5 Arz
Lean towards the Jets, but most likely a no play.

NO -5.5 Sf
I don't like betting on or against my favorite teams unless it's a slam dunk, this is not the case.

CAR -6.5 Atl
Slight lean towards the Panthers, it's amazing how a rookie QB can look so good at home against an awful team, but so bad on the road against a decent team. Who'd a thunk it?

TEN -3 Min
Tennessee is the most physical team in the league! The Vikings known for their finesse play, have already pissed themselves. Likely a play on the Vikes.

TB -1 Gb
The line opened at TB -3, who does Vegas want you to take?

Buf -8 STL
I still don't think people know how bad St. Louis really is, looking at the under.

Sd -7.5 OAK
Oakland has looked fiesty in their last two games, San Diego beat down the Jets on Monday Night. Leaning heavily on Al Davis

DAL -11 Was
Passing the side, but the under is definitely worth a look.

Phi -3 CHI
Liking the Bears quite a bit in this matchup, I'll see how things develop.

PIT -5 Bal
I'm thinking this one is a pass

CFB Leans Week 5

It's been a hectic week and haven't had much time to do "research". So a day late here are my college leans...

Indiana +8.5
The loss to Ball St last week + Sparty's last two performances were not as good as the score would indicate. Plus Ball St gashed Indiana for 224 rushing yards last week, Ringer will have that amount at the half.

Kent St +17
Ball St just beat a team from a power conference, so the Golden Showers should be no problem. Also how will Ball St react after losing Dante Love?

Memphis +2
I have no justification other than when the line was originally set Memphis was favored. I don't think the oddsmakers made a mistake.

Akron +11
I'm lukewarm on this pick, we'll see what happens in the next 24 hours

Houston +10.5
ECU will bounce back, right?

ND -1
Notre Dame sucks, Purdue is good, appearantly

Tennessee +6.5
This is one of my favorite plays this week. The reasons for backing Tennesse should be obvious I'll see if I can contain myself when deciding how much to bet.

Michigan +6
I have no idea why people are standing in line waiting to back Allen Everidge on the road as a fav

Florida St -5.5
This one is comical. Colorado beats an overrated West Virginia team led by an overmatched, but pleasant Bill Stewart. FSU looks like complete ass on national tv against Wake. FSU will be lucky to even score six points this weekend.

Arkansas +27
I have nothing for this game, most likely a pass unless I decide I want to lose another unit this weekend.

Wyoming +3
Where are all the people early in the year who were backing Wyoming at home against an also-ran from the MAC?

North Texas +17
The Mean Green defense has looked utterly pathetic all year, I see no reason for this to change against Rice. In addition, it doesn't feel right going against a team that lost by 42 their last time out.

TCU +18
Stoops will likely be an asshole in this game

Georgia -6
This game is bizarre. I feel dirty even thinking about backing the preseason #1 at home sporting a 3-0 record, but it's not up to me. It's up to the public

Idaho +11.5
The Vandals laid claim to being the worst to in the FBS last week, I'll be looking at them more seriously as the year progresses

Nevada +4
UNLV is big-time after beating ASU and ISU. Nevada has not looked so good against Texas Tech(should have fucking covered) or Missouri.

Thursday Nighter

USC/Oregon St U52.5 -101 (1)

I am passing on Oregon St and SMU. There will be plenty of opportunities this weekend on which to place a wager and lose horribly.

Monday Night Football

I thought I had something better to do than agonize over the Monday Nighter, appearantly not.

SD -9 +108 (1)
SD/Bretts U45 +112 (1)

Sunday Night Football

GB +3 +106 (1)
GB/Dal U51.5 -110 (1)

Not looking forward to this 2-unit loss to end the night

NFL Week 3

Chiefs +6.5 -102 (1)
Bucs +3 +110 (1)
Vikings -3 -106 (1)
Ravens -2 -110 (1)

No chance

Saturday Night

LSU/Aub O37 +105 (1)
Toledo +7 -110 (1)
Arizona St +7 -110 (1)

CFB Week 4

Temple +29 -102 (1)
Ole Miss -6.5 -110 (1)
Wyoming +29 -110 (1)
Arkansas +8.5 +103 (1)
Buffalo +35 -110 (1)
Army +10 -104 (1)

I'm not in love with any of these plays, compared to last week this card blows. I can't stand the Arkansas and Army picks. I'll be back with a few more plays for the night games.

Passes were Pitt, Air Force, Tennessee, New Mexico, UL-Monroe and FIU

EDIT - Adding Pitt ML -108 (1)
This is a sure loser

NFL Leans

ATL -6 kc
Tyler Thigpen suited up last week for the Chiefs and I don't know if one could look any worse than he did. Words cannot describe how pathetic Thigpen was against the Raiders. I also have no words to describe why I will be backing him this Sunday

BUF -9.5 oak
Buffalo overvalued, Raiders=Raiders, Leaning heavily on Al Davis this week

TEN -4.5 hou
Tennessee has won and covered their first two games and there has been talk of them being a Super Bowl darkhorse. Houston looked like ass in their opener against the Steelers then has a bye week, who looks like the play?

NYG -13 cin
Obvious lean to the Bengals, but this play might get cut as I tighten up my card for Sunday

WAS -3 arz
pass

NE -12.5 mia
I honestly have no idea

CHI -3 tb
Who thought people would flock to back Neckbeard? Tampa is getting serious consideration.

MIN -3.5 car
Carolina beat San Diego and Chicago without Steve Smith, now they get the winless Vikings who will be dusting off Gus Frerotte. Public is backing a dog yet the line moved a half-point to the Vikings. I wonder what I should do?

SEA -10 stl
Seattle has sucked this year, so has St. Louis. It appears as if someone wants you to take the Rams in this case.

SF -4 det
Passing this clusterfuck

DEN -5.5 no
I can pass on two overvalued teams even if one is getting pounded

PHI -3.5 pit
Did not think I would be leaning Pittsburgh in this game before the year started

IND -5.5 jax
Both teams have struggled, both teams are passes

BAL -2 cle
Baltimore is looking like an auto-play

dal -3 GB
Will most likely be on the Packers

SD -9 nyj
Slight lean towards the Chargers, but most likely a pass

No play in the Uconn-Baylor cluster, I will have my morning and afternoon college plays posted around 9:30am.

CFB Leans Week 4

I don't like this card near as much as the last two weeks. That could be good(4-9 in wk 2) or bad(8-3 last week). The only game that is a definite play come Saturday is Toledo. There are other games where I am leaning heavily (Temple, Arkansas, Buffalo) but nothing is set in stone. Onto the leans...

Temple +28.5: This is more a fade of Penn St than anything else

Ole Miss -7: Vandy is getting way too much love right now. One nationally televised upset win over South Carolina coupled with a 3-0 ATS will turn you public.

Wyoming +28.5: If BYU can beat UCLA 59-0, what will they do against the Cowboys?

Auburn +2.5: The high-octane basketball on grass game that Auburn played against Sly Croom, is stuck in the minds of all those smart bettors who took Auburn. The O38 will get a look as well.

Arkansas +9.5: Arkansas has been 4 points better than their opponents this year, Western Illinois and UL-Monroe. In both of those games the Razorbacks were down double-digits in the 4th. As ugly as Arkansas has looked this year, I'm not disgusted by this play (never a good sign).

Pittsburgh -1: Iowa is a public dog, Pitt hasn't looked good this year. How will Kirk Ferentz's criminals look away from Kinnick?

New Mexico +10: No way New Mexico hangs with Tulsa, just like there was no way NM would hang with Arizona

Air Force +8: I don't think Air Force got the memo that the forward pass is legal.

Army +10: I really don't want to get involved in this clusterfuck, but I think my hand will be forced.

NC St +7.5: Does the fading of ECU continue? I have no idea, the Wolfpack are gruesome enough to play though.

Buffalo +34: Did you know Chase Daniel has more TD passes than incompletions in his last two games? I, honestly, had no idea.

Toledo +7.5: Fresno usually bounces back after a disappointing non-conference loss, right?

Tennessee +7.5: I really want to stay away from this game

Arizona St +7: ASU really hasn't looked good against top-flight competition, that probably won't change this week.

FIU +28.5: KU beat 'em by 30, USF can surely do the same, no?

UL-Monroe +6: Tulane almost beat ECU, who is UL-Monroe?

For tonight's WVU-Colorado game there will be no play.

Wednesday Night Football?

UL +3.5 +117 (1)
UL ML +175 (1)

This play really has no chance whatsoever, consider these facts

Kansas State comes rolling into town with the 3rd most efficient passer in the NCAA in Josh "My coach said imma be the number 1 pick in the NFL Draft" Freeman

Louisville could only put up 2 points against Kentucky in their nationally televised rivalry game

Kansas State has taken down perennial powers North Texas and Montana St

Louisville lost to Kentucky and beat some crappy team (nowhere near as good as North Texas or Montana St)

Did I mention how truly horrible Louisville looked against Kentucky in their nationally televised game and how dominant K-St looked at home against stiff competition?

I might as well be burning my money instead of wagering on the Cardinals

Sunday Night Football

I have no idea how this will cover tonight

Browns +6 +101 (1)

A Late Afternoon Play That Will Lose

Tampa -7 -109 (1)

NFL Week 2 Plays

Redskins -1 +101 (1.5)
Vikings ML +113 (1)

Passing Lions, Rams and Raiders

No Way These Come In

New Mexico +10.5 -102 (1)
Ohio St/USC U44 +111 (1)

Afternoon Disgust

Guaranteed losers

South Carolina +7.5 EV (1)
VT -7 -108 (2)
BYU -8 -110 (1)
Tulane +13 -110 (1)
ND +2 -110 (1)

AM Losers

The hits keep coming, games have to start breaking my way but things have been about as shitty as possible

Maryland +14.5 -110 (1.5)
FAU +17 +109 (1)
UL-Laughing at this pick +25.5 -106 (1)

Friday Night Football

USF -3.5 EV (1.5)

This play does not totally disgust me, in fact I like it quite a bit.

Because I'd Rather Not Read My Economics Book.....

Here are my NFL leans

KC -4 oak
Oakland looked shitty on MNF, can't argue that fact. For that reason and KC hanging tough with a Brady-less Patriot squad the Chiefs are getting pounded. I'll take the hapless Raiders and the points.

CINCY -1 ten
Vince Young is out for the Titans and that might actually help them, honestly I have no idea in this game. Titans seem like the easy pick, but I do not bet anything that is easy.

indy -2 MIN
I like the Vikes and the points in this one, no shame in losing on the road to a solid GB team. That and the public is pounding the Colts, so that made it easier.

no -1 WAS
Maybe it's because I didn't see the Redskins play last Thursday, but why the orgy on Nawlins? I'll go with the Washington Redstits (no that's not a typo).

gb -3 DET
This line is disgusting, just god awful. It's either the Lions or no play, probably no play. I'm sure it's because I'm influenced by FO and I still view the Packers as damn near the same team as last year(because they are sans Favre), while downgrading the Lions, who look to be stellar this year.

CAR -3 chi
Battle of teams with surprising week 1 wins, I'll gladly stay away from both thank you.

nyg -9 STL
Rams should be playing in FBS against the Trojans to see who will be the NFL's 32nd team. Leaning Rams....ugh

JAX -5 buf
This would be a great spot to back the Jaguars, but I hate the fact that their missing a big chunk of their offensive line. They still might be a play, but right now it's a pass

TB -7 atl
Atlanta beat up on Detroit at home, TB lost a close one @ New Orleans. Tampa will be without Garcia and Brooks might be out as well. Public likes Atlanta. I like Tampa

SEA -6.5 sf
Seattle must have a plague on their WRs, this game could go either way and that makes it a pass.

ARZ -6 mia
I lean Cardinals, but probably a no play

NYJ -1 ne
Who thought this would be the line a week ago. I thought for a bit that the Pats might be a play, they will not and neither will the Jets

HOU -3.5 bal
I like Houston at this spot, as they were not as bad as they played last week. I have a crush on both these teams and will likely stay away.

sd -1 DEN
Denver beats down on Oakland, San Diego loses at the gun to a previously underrated Carolina squad. If I had to pick I'd be laying that point.

pit -6 CLE
The thought of backing Cleveland makes me sick, If I can bring myself to it I'll be on the Browns

DAL -6.5 phi
Too much going on with this play and what before looked like a slam dunk on the Eagles is looking like a pass, I'll see what develops.

CFB Leans that will lose money

USF - had to go to OT with UCF, ha! they suck (nevermind USF outgained UCF 2-1 in total yards and UCF was much more motivated than USF). Kansas meanwhile has shown its muscle against FIU and La Tech.

Maryland - Cal destroyed a stellar Wazzu squad coupled with Maryland looking quite formidable against the powerhouses that are Delaware and Middle Tennessee

FAU - Sun Belt sucks

UL-Laf - above

Nevada - I can't imagine this loss being any more painful than last week against Tech

Tulane - fading ECU after two high profile wins

BYU - people talking themselves into UCLA after losing money on them, hell Washington should have won that game!

Purdue - Oregon has rolled twice at home, playing on the road should be no different, Big 10 sucks too.

Spurrier - UGA only laying 7?, A GIFT FROM VEGAS

Syracuse - The Orange really are putrid

Notre Dame - Sagebrush from Covers puts it nicely, "Wouldn't Michigan slaughter Cal-Poly? Ok, let's see...Cal-Poly somehow beats San Diego State...then Notre Dame struggles and barely beats SD St...so my question is how the hell will the fighting irish hang with Michigan...? Don't see it happening!!!"

Va Tech - Line is set up for action on the Ramblin' Wreck

Ohio St - Wells is now doubtful, so the Buckeyes' chances of winning just went from 5% to 0.0001%

Ohio St/USC U45

New Mexico - home games against Idaho and Toledo have shown how superior Arizona is to New Mexico who is 0-2 on the year

Monday Night Football

Packers -2 -105 (1)
Packers -3 +128 (.5)

Offseason hype on Minnesota + Packers losing Farve, coupled with shoddy preseason play = this play

NFL Futures

Cleveland U8 EV (.25)
GB O8 -125 (.5)
Oakland U6.5 -135 (.55)
Detroit U6.5 -105 (.5)
Dallas U10.5 +120 (.5)
Baltimore to win AFC North +805 risking (1)

Not a whole lot behind these plays, they are PFP inspired

NFL Week 1

Yesterday night will live in infamy for quite some time. Memphis/Rice and Nevada/Texas Tech will go down as all-timers. It was a disgusting crock of shit. My other losers were just a straight kick in the balls, an all-around solid night for square logic. I guess I need to start looking at stats and trends to justify my plays and not betting on overinflated lines.

Joe Flacco +1 +116 (1)
Texans +6.5 +108 (1)
Buccaneers +3.5 -110 (1)

Passes: Matty Ryan

CFB Week 2

SJSU +28 -110 (1.5)

UTEP +28 -110 (1.5)

Ohio St/Ohio U46.5 -103 (.5)
Pub fade

Duke +6 -103 (1)
Northwestern is only laying 6 to Duke, Duke sucks

UCF +14 -110 (1)
It wouldn't surprise me if my future bet was shot in week 2

Memphis -3 -110 (1)
Memphis - blowout loss + Rice - blowout win over a shitty SMU squad on national tv = this play

North Texas +21.5 -103 (1)
Tulsa will gain 834 yards today against this porous d, I guess Tulsa has the steel curtain on their side.

Washington St +13.5 +103 (1)
This will likely be as painful as last week's game

Nevada -10.5 -107 (1)
Pumpfest on the Texas Tech Pirates

Marshall +21.5 -110 (1)
I cannot even name one Marshall player, which is suprising considering all the game film I've been watching

New Mexico +3 -110 (1)
No way Texas A&M loses two straight in non-conference

Louisiana Tech +21.5 -110 (1)
Pub fade

Toledo +24 -110 (1)
Arizona beat Idaho by 70 last week, surely 25 against Toledo is not too much to ask for

Passes - EMU, Oregon St, Minnesota, Tulane, San Diego St

Nebraska is ONLY -26.5!?

Let me lay it down for everyone who reads this site (maybe 1 person besides me), there is a guy I know who absolutely looks down upon people who gamble. Let's call him Waldo. Waldo thinks it is a complete waste of money. Waldo saw my copy of Pro Football Prospectus and kept saying, "stupid" under his breath because he thought it was a gambling book (it kinda is for win totals, but he is oblivious to that fact) never mind the fact that it is the most informative book you can read on the NFL. It was "stupid".

So imagine my shock when I heard that Waldo wanted to drop some cash on the local university. He wants to do what now? Mr. Moral Superiority wants to lower himself to the dregs of society? This line has enticed him so much that he wants to come down from his soapbox and put down his first wager on Nebraska -26.5. His square thinking is as follows Nebraska is 23 points better than Western Michigan. Western Michigan is at least a TD better than San Jose St. Thus Nebraska should cover their spread against SJSU.

Waldo is right about one thing, for him gambling will be a complete waste of money.

Who Needs Self-Control?

I like way too many games this weekend and it's guaranteed to end badly, here are the leans

NCAAF
EMU +21.5
Marshall +21.5
SJSU +27
Oregon St +16.5
NM +3
Wazzu +13.5
Duke +6.5
Tulane +30
No. Ill +6
UCF +14.5
La Tech +21
North Tejas +22
Minnesota +6
Memphis -3.5
Nevada +10
Toledo +22.5
UTEP +26.5

UTEP is my favorite play right now, followed by SJSU, UCF and Nevada

NFL
Joe Flacco +1
Texans +6.5
Falcons +3
Oh My God they don't have Farve -2.5
Carolina +9.5

I'll probably end up with only a couple plays for NFL week 1, with Flacco and Texans loooking like definite plays.

Labor Day Special Part II

UCLA +7.5 EV (1)

This has no chance of covering

EDIT- bought back, so now if UCLA wins I'm +.237 and if the Fightin' Fulmers win I push. This piece of mind is definitely worth it.

Labor Day Special Part I

Rutgers -3.5 +101 (1)

I noticed this play mid-week when everyone was pumping Fresno and counting out Rutgers because Ray Rice is gone.

There will definitely be a play for tonight's game....I'm sick just thinking about it, but I'm gonna gamble that the books want some of their money back after this weekend was filled with square winners.

Bluegrass Special

Louisville/Kentucky U56.5 -110 (.5)

If I was betting for the hell of it I would be on the Buffs -11 tonight, but I will pass and this play will hit. Thus, is my life.

CFB Week 1

Bowling Green +13 +105 (1)
Pittsburgh's win over West Virginia at the end of the year coupled with Bowling Green looking like a pile of shit in their 63-7 loss to Tulsa in the GMAC bowl has inflated this line just a little.

Frank Solich +13 EV (1)
Everyone and their dog, cat, goldfish, horse is on Wyoming for God only knows why. Unofficial tally: Wyoming 71, Ohio 10.

Wazzu +7 -103 (1)
See above, but I can see the angle on T. Boone Pickens which makes this play all the more disgusting. My only hope is that Boone Pickens forgets how to play on the road. Unofficial tally: T. Boone Pickens 82, Wazzu 4. What really pushed this over was Gids being on Ok St in our pick em league.

Kent St +10.5 -110 (1)
The Golden Showers sucked last year, no need stop that trend.

FAU +26 -110 (.5)
Tex -23 -114 (.25)
This is a shot at a middle.

This makes a total of 8 plays on the first weekend of college football after I telling myself I would take it easy. There are two possible plays for Monday, what restraint.

Passes were North Tejas and Akron

Friday Night Football

SMU +3.5 EV (1)

This was on my list of leans and the large majority of people are in love with steamed Rice, so unfortunately it's a play.

Thursday Night Round-Up

That Titans loss was a brutal one to take, surprisingly I took it in stride. I have no idea why. The Titans and Baylor plays were late additions and not originally on my leans. I should have had the disicpline to pass both of those plays. I was, however, quite surprised that Stanford was able to avoid blowing their game. Thank you, Darrell Catchings.

The ending of the Titans/Packers game, while a kick in the balls, should act as a constant reminder. I will not take my disappointment out on Matt Flynn, I will internalize it and hopefully use it as a lesson for the rest of the season.

Still, fuck Matt Flynn.

Edit 2:30am Romney to win VP +132 (.75)
Pawlenty to lose VP +174 (1.74)

The Next Several Months Are Going To Be Bad

Baylor +13 -110 (1)
Stanford +3.5 -110 (1.02) don't ask

I passed on MTSU because there were WAAAAY too many people on them recently, that's not something that I want to be a part of. Added Baylor to the mix, but that was probably a borderline play that I pulled the trigger on. The Stanford game will be brutal as well.

Add FAU, Bowling Green, and Rutgers to my leans for this weekend. FAU is on there only because I could play them at +26(a couple points higher than anywhere else thanks to my "local")


Can't forget this abortion in NFL X

Titans -5.5 -110 (1)

3 Days from NCAAF

The other day a co-worker asked me who was my favorite college QB to watch. I thought for several seconds, the only thing that popped into my head was the QB I have money on. Otherwise, I frankly don't give a shit. Onto the leans...

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
The Fightin' Harbaughs
SMU
North Tejas
Wazzu
Kent St Golden Showers
UCLA

Not sure if I will play all these losers, as I want to limit my plays early, but value is value

nfl sucks

This was a loser that I forgot to post...yipee

Colts -5.5 -108 (1)

Olympic Gold Medal Round

Spanish +21.5 +103 (2)

I don't feel good about this game because I feel so good about it, I wanna throw up and I'll want to fuckin kick all the Spainards in their throats after they get blown out.

NFL X Action

Jags -3 +109 (.5)
NO/CIN U41 +107 (.5)

I'll see if I regret getting the total at 41.5 laying -110.

There will definitely be a play for the Olympics.

Olympic Basketball

Argentina +21.5 -110 (1)

Thought about taking a stab on the moneyline, but I convinced myself otherwise. It wouldn't make much sense because USA already has gold locked up, these games are for show only.

Olympic Semis Lean

Argentina +19

I'm not even sure if I'm going to play this. The odd thing for the Olympics is that I've faded Argentina 3 times and have yet to do so for USA. I'll see how things develop.

Seriously?

Some people amaze me with their intelligence

Correlation does not imply causation

I should really be thankful for people like this, as stupid as they are the HappyKane's of the world make my job much easier.

Panagiotis Vasilopoulos

nice shot

More Olympics Hoops Action

Greece +4.5 -106 (.5)

We'll see if my USA/AUS over gets picked up on matchbook O178 -104 (.5)

Edit - My USA/AUS over did get picked up, evidence here.

Olympic Hoops Blog

1:23am I knew I wouldn't be able to fall asleep and with work approaching in 5 hrs I thought I would stay up and document this 2.5 unit loss.

1:25am This is brutal I went through matchbook for the game earlier in the day and Croatia is +12 and the total is set at 149. The current line is Croatia +13 and 152.5. This fuckin blows.

1:31 Spain 2-0 after 10 seconds, followed by a lane violation, great start

1:34 a couple of shady fouls already on Croatia, this is FIBA.

1:36 Croatia is on the board after 3 minutes, hooray! 6-1 Spain

1:37 Two Croatians fight for the ball and falls to teen heartthrob Ricky Rubio and he finds Gasol for an alley oop. Spain 8-1, way to come out of the gates Croatia.

1:41 Croatia has yet to hit a FG halfway through the quarter, awesome.

1:42 Another Gasol dunk, Spain 12-1

1:44 Croatia finally hits a FG with 3:26 left in the quarter

1:45 Fuck you Calderon

1:47 Croatia just ran a nice offensive set, dribble for 20 seconds and jack up a 26 footer, it somehow went in. Spain leads 19-9.

1:49 Some buttfuck hits a 3 about five feet behind the arc. Spain leads 22-11 after one quarter, this game sucks.

1:55 I say this again fuck you Calderon, Spain 25-16

1:58 Spain blows a lay up only for Gasol to put it back and get fouled in the process, motherfuckers Spain 30-18 6 mins left in the 2nd

2:04 nice bullshit call on the foul, Fernandez was clearly looking to pass the ball not shoot it. Spainards lead 33-21 with 3:30 to go in the 2nd.

2:07 Croatia saved it to Ricky Rubio, too bad he plays for Spain and he was right under his own basket. Spain leads 37-23 with 1:30 to go.

2:08 I don't understand the intentional foul call that Spain was penalized with. As the announcer pointed out, how can you measure intent?

2:13 The play that Croatia drew up after a timeout was right out of John Wooden's playbook, some guy threw up an off-balanced 3 that was an airball.

Spain leads 37-26 at the half.

2:29 Spain plays volleyball and gets two points, 39-26

2:32 Croatia is reeling and this could get ugly quick, Spain leads 42-26 .

2:36 Jorge hits a 3 and Spain leads 47-28 with 6 left in the 3rd.

2:41 another stupid intentional foul, I hate that fuckin rule.

2:43 Calderon picks a nice game to break out of his slump, Spain leads 50-32 with 3 left in the 3rd.

2:45 Croatia scores a couple of quick baskets which leads to a timeout from Spain and the score is 50-36 with a minute and change left in the 3rd.

2:47 I'm counting my lucky stars that the bald guy from Spain keeps missing his 3s.

2:49 Marc Gasol is no Pau Gasol.

2:50 Nice bullshit foul call, no one can touch the Tiger Beat coverboy.

2:51 Croatia displays their excellent offensive play as the 3rd quarter ends. Spain leads 51-38.

2:52 The announcer said Spain was outstanding from 3, they are shooting 6-19. Croatia hits a 3, the score is 51-41.

2:54 I don't like this at all, Spain leads 55-41 one minute into the 4th.

2:56 Croatia has absolutely no fuckin answer for Gasol, Croatia answers with an offensive foul and Spain gets a two to drop in 59-41.

3:00 Croatia looks like ass on offense, Spain leads 63-41 with 5 and change left.

3:05 Gasol is playing head and shoulders above everyone else. Where the fuck were you against the Celtics you eurotrash?

3:08 The Croatian players are afraid to take an open 3 down 23 with 2 minutes to go. No wonder you only have 49 points.

3:11 Goddamnit Croatia is making a run down 14 shooting a free throw.

3:12 Final Spain 72-59 sonofabitch I fucking had this game for 12. Well atleast all those stupid fuckers who took Spain at -13.5 or -14 lost. I'm still pissed though.

3:17 That sure was fun, well I came out on top which I didn't think would happen, but I'm still upset that I had the game at 12.